Lithuania A Lyga
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-111%2-18%1-28%
Expected goals1.56 – 1.54
Avg goals3.11
Our pickHome
FA Siauliai 38%
Draw 25%
FK Panevezys 37%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.62 | 2.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.60 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 58% | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 8.91 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.70 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.20 |
| Goals 3 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
FA Siauliai
10.3
Expected corners
5.3
FK Panevezys
FA Siauliai corner stats · FK Panevezys corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 60%
Under 40%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.3 corners in this match, with FA Siauliai winning 5 of them.
- FA Siauliai win 5.31 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.62 over their last 45.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 71% of FA Siauliai matches.
- Across 49 recent matches, FK Panevezys games produced 10.18 corners on average — 5.16 taken by FK Panevezys themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of FK Panevezys matches.
- Games involving FA Siauliai produce 3.13 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
- FK Panevezys matches average 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.5 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (52%).
FA Siauliai — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | H | L FK Dziugas Telsiai | 3–4 | 7–4 |
| 2026-08-03 | H | L Banga Gargzdai | 1–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | L FC Hegelmann | 0–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0–4 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | L FK Transinvest | 1–3 | 8–5 |
| 2026-06-24 | H | W FK Dziugas Telsiai | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L FK Panevezys | 2–3 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-16 | A | L Suduva Marijampole | 1–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L FK Dziugas Telsiai | 3–4 | 3–3 |
FK Panevezys — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | A | W FK Transinvest | 2–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-08-04 | H | D FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-30 | A | D Tobol Kostanay | 1–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | D Tobol Kostanay | 1–1 | 6–9 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D FC Hegelmann | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | L Suduva Marijampole | 1–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-23 | A | L FK Minija | 1–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W FA Siauliai | 3–2 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | L FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0–3 | 6–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?
- Our model gives FA Siauliai a 38% chance, the draw 25% and FK Panevezys 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.