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Scotland Premiership

Falkirk vs St Mirren Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.65 – 1.13
Avg goals2.78
Our pickHome
Falkirk 48% Draw 27% St Mirren 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 48% 2.06 2.00
Double chance – Home or draw 75% 1.33 1.29
Goals 2.5 Over 53% 1.90 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 56% 1.79 1.70
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 52% 1.94 1.83
Corners 10 Under 52% 1.94 1.98
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.87 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 3.50
Goals 2.5 Over 1.83  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.83
Corners 10 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.5 Falkirk
9.9 Expected corners
4.4 St Mirren

Falkirk corner stats · St Mirren corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.9 corners here; Falkirk are forecast for 5.5.
  • Across 49 recent matches, Falkirk games produced 9.57 corners on average — 4.84 taken by Falkirk themselves.
  • Falkirk games clear the 9.5 corner line 49% of the time.
  • St Mirren matches average 10.66 total corners (5.51 won per game) across their last 53 with corner data.
  • St Mirren games clear the 9.5 corner line 64% of the time.
  • Falkirk matches average 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
  • Games involving St Mirren produce 2.64 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.

Falkirk — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Stranraer 3–0 4–3
2026-07-22 A D Alloa 1–1 5–1
2026-07-18 H W Genk 1–0 3–5
2026-07-15 H L Ayr 0–1 5–6
2026-07-11 A W Edinburgh City 5–0 2–3
2026-07-08 A W Airdrieonians 2–1 12–3
2026-05-16 H L Rangers 2–5 7–4
2026-05-14 A L Hearts 0–3 5–5
2026-05-09 H L Hibernian 1–3 6–5
2026-05-02 H W Motherwell 1–0 2–5

St Mirren — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Dunfermline 0–1 8–5
2026-07-22 H W East Kilbride 4–3 4–3
2026-07-18 A W Cove Rangers 4–0 6–3
2026-07-11 A W Dumbarton 4–0 7–0
2026-06-27 A W Arbroath 4–2 8–2
2026-05-26 H W Partick 1–0 4–5
2026-05-22 A D Partick 1–1 5–4
2026-05-17 H D Dundee Utd 1–1 10–2
2026-05-13 A W Aberdeen 2–0 1–6
2026-05-09 H L Kilmarnock 0–3 1–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Falkirk vs St Mirren?
Our model gives Falkirk a 48% chance, the draw 27% and St Mirren 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Falkirk vs St Mirren?
The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.