UK Friendlies
Farnborough vs Bath City Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.69 – 1.63
Avg goals3.31
Our pickHome
Farnborough 39%
Draw 25%
Bath City 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.57 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away +6% Value | 56% | 1.80 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.10 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.05 · Draw 3.75 · Away 2.80 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Farnborough
9.2
Expected corners
4.6
Bath City
Farnborough corner stats · Bath City corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.2 corners in this match, with Farnborough winning 4.6 of them.
- Farnborough win 3.87 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.89 over their last 54.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Farnborough matches.
- Across 49 recent matches, Bath City games produced 11.27 corners on average — 4.80 taken by Bath City themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 67% of Bath City matches.
- Games involving Farnborough produce 3.37 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- Bath City matches average 2.76 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 3.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 10.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (53%).
Farnborough — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | D Portsmouth | 1–1 | 11–8 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Aldershot | 1–2 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Reading | 1–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-08 | A | W Ashford Town (Middx) | 1–0 | 2–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W AFC Totton | 6–1 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Tonbridge Angels | 1–6 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Dover | 3–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Horsham | 2–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Hampton & Richmond | 1–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | D Hornchurch FC | 2–2 | 2–5 |
Bath City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | H | L Maidstone Utd | 2–3 | 4–12 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Dorking | 3–1 | 2–11 |
| 2026-04-15 | A | L AFC Totton | 1–2 | 6–9 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Chesham | 4–2 | 1–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Torquay | 1–4 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W Chippenham Town | 1–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-04-01 | A | L Maidenhead Utd | 0–3 | 5–12 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | D Eastbourne Borough | 2–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-03-25 | H | L Hemel Hempstead | 0–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Tonbridge Angels | 1–2 | 5–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Farnborough vs Bath City?
- Our model gives Farnborough a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Bath City 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Farnborough vs Bath City?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.