Moldova Divizia Nationala
FC Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-1
Expected goals0.68 – 1.73
Avg goals2.41
Our pickAway
FC Balti 13%
Draw 25%
Sheriff Tiraspol 62%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 62% | 1.62 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 87% | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Correct score | – | 0-1 | 15% | 6.87 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 12.00 · Draw 6.00 · Away 1.17 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.6
FC Balti
8.6
Expected corners
5.0
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC Balti corner stats · Sheriff Tiraspol corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 38%
Under 62%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.6 corners here; FC Balti are forecast for 3.6.
- FC Balti win 4.83 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.21 over their last 24.
- FC Balti games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
- Across 34 recent matches, Sheriff Tiraspol games produced 9.65 corners on average — 5.29 taken by Sheriff Tiraspol themselves.
- Sheriff Tiraspol games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- FC Balti matches average 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Sheriff Tiraspol produce 2.35 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 29%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 57% probability.
FC Balti — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Dacia Buiucani | 1–4 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L FC Milsami | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | L Zimbru Chisinau | 0–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W FC Milsami | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | D CS Petrocub | 1–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Dacia Buiucani | 2–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | L CS Petrocub | 0–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Zimbru Chisinau | 0–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-03-16 | A | D FC Milsami | 0–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-09 | H | L Sheriff Tiraspol | 0–1 | 3–8 |
Sheriff Tiraspol — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | L Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0–1 | 7–12 |
| 2026-07-27 | H | D FC Milsami | 0–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | L Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0–5 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | W CS Petrocub | 3–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | W Aluminij Kidricevo | 1–0 | 2–13 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | W Zimbru Chisinau | 4–2 | 2–8 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | D Aluminij Kidricevo | 0–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | D FC Politehnica Chisinau | 0–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Zimbru Chisinau | 2–0 | 1–11 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W CS Petrocub | 2–0 | 6–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
- Our model gives FC Balti a 13% chance, the draw 25% and Sheriff Tiraspol 62%. The most likely score is 0-1.
- How many corners are expected in FC Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 38% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.