Estonia Meistriliiga
FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju JK Laagri Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.40 – 1.08
Avg goals3.48
Our pickHome
FC Flora Tallinn 66%
Draw 20%
Harju JK Laagri 15%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 66% | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 85% | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Home | 56% | 1.77 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +63% Value | 10% | 10.43 | 17.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 3.90 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.5
FC Flora Tallinn
11.3
Expected corners
3.8
Harju JK Laagri
FC Flora Tallinn corner stats · Harju JK Laagri corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 70%
Under 30%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.3 corners here; FC Flora Tallinn are forecast for 7.5.
- FC Flora Tallinn win 6.78 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.33 over their last 49.
- FC Flora Tallinn games clear the 9.5 corner line 69% of the time.
- Across 38 recent matches, Harju JK Laagri games produced 10.39 corners on average — 4.13 taken by Harju JK Laagri themselves.
- Harju JK Laagri games clear the 9.5 corner line 61% of the time.
- FC Flora Tallinn matches average 3.18 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
- Games involving Harju JK Laagri produce 3.24 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 51% probability.
FC Flora Tallinn — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | L The New Saints | 0–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W The New Saints | 1–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L JK Nomme United | 1–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | D FC Iberia 1999 | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | L FC Iberia 1999 | 2–3 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | W FC Kuressaare | 3–0 | 9–2 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | W FC Levadia Tallinn | 2–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Paide Linnameeskond | 1–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | W Parnu JK Vaprus | 2–1 | 12–2 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L FC Levadia Tallinn | 1–3 | 4–8 |
Harju JK Laagri — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | H | W Paide Linnameeskond | 5–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W JK Trans Narva | 3–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | L JK Tammeka Tartu | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L JK Nomme United | 1–3 | 10–2 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | L Paide Linnameeskond | 0–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L FC Kuressaare | 2–3 | 8–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W JK Trans Narva | 3–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | L JK Nomme Kalju | 0–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Parnu JK Vaprus | 1–2 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L FC Levadia Tallinn | 0–3 | 0–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju JK Laagri?
- Our model gives FC Flora Tallinn a 66% chance, the draw 20% and Harju JK Laagri 15%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju JK Laagri?
- The corner model projects 11.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 70% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.