Georgia Erovnuli Liga
FC Gagra vs FC Spaeri Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-113%0-19%1-29%
Expected goals1.27 – 1.39
Avg goals2.66
Our pickAway
FC Gagra 34%
Draw 27%
FC Spaeri 39%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 39% | 2.55 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 50% | 1.98 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away +7% Value | 54% | 1.86 | 2.05 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.78 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.55 · Draw 3.25 · Away 2.40 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.75 · Away 2.05 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
FC Gagra
9.8
Expected corners
5.2
FC Spaeri
FC Gagra corner stats · FC Spaeri corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.8 corners in this match, with FC Gagra winning 4.6 of them.
- Across 35 recent matches, FC Gagra games produced 9.69 corners on average — 4.80 taken by FC Gagra themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of FC Gagra matches.
- FC Spaeri matches average 9.40 total corners (4.90 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of FC Spaeri matches.
- Games involving FC Gagra produce 2.91 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- FC Spaeri matches average 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 2.8 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 8.5 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (50%).
FC Gagra — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | A | D Dinamo Batumi | 2–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-08-02 | A | W FC Gareji | 4–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | D Samgurali | 0–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | D Meshakhte Tkibuli | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-15 | H | W Dinamo Tbilisi | 2–1 | 1–13 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | W Torpedo Kutaisi | 2–1 | 1–10 |
| 2026-05-20 | A | L FC Iberia 1999 | 0–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D FC Rustavi | 1–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | L FC Spaeri | 0–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | L Dinamo Batumi | 1–2 | 13–5 |
FC Spaeri — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | H | L Dinamo Tbilisi | 1–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-08-02 | A | D FC Rustavi | 1–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Dinamo Tbilisi II | 5–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | L Samgurali | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-23 | A | D Torpedo Kutaisi | 0–0 | 7–7 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | L Dila Gori | 1–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-12 | A | D FC Iberia 1999 | 1–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L FC Rustavi | 1–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | W Meshakhte Tkibuli | 2–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | D Dinamo Batumi | 3–3 | 8–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Gagra vs FC Spaeri?
- Our model gives FC Gagra a 34% chance, the draw 27% and FC Spaeri 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FC Gagra vs FC Spaeri?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.