Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 65′ 2–0
Corners3–1
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target4–7
Shots off target7–3
Attacks87–40
Dangerous attacks31–18
Possession62%–38%
Predicted score
1-113%1-09%0-19%
Expected goals1.33 – 1.32
Avg goals2.65
Our pickHome
FC Groningen 37%
Draw 27%
FC Utrecht 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 37% | 2.73 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 58% | 1.74 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 10 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.75 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.40 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.5
FC Groningen
10.1
Expected corners
4.6
FC Utrecht
FC Groningen corner stats · FC Utrecht corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.1 corners in this match, with FC Groningen winning 5.5 of them.
- FC Groningen win 5.95 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.88 over their last 42.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 62% of FC Groningen matches.
- Across 51 recent matches, FC Utrecht games produced 9.55 corners on average — 5.04 taken by FC Utrecht themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of FC Utrecht matches.
- Games involving FC Groningen produce 2.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- FC Utrecht matches average 2.76 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (57%).
FC Groningen — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | H | W Valladolid | 1–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Volos NFC | 0–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | L FC Volendam | 0–4 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W FC Emmen | 3–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | L Heracles | 1–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L Ajax | 0–2 | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Heracles | 2–1 | 5–9 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W NEC | 2–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Excelsior | 2–3 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Feyenoord | 0–3 | 3–2 |
FC Utrecht — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | H | L Sevilla | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L De Graafschap | 1–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Ajax | 0–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | W Heerenveen | 3–2 | 9–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Fortuna Sittard | 2–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Ajax | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W NAC | 2–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Excelsior | 0–4 | 2–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Telstar | 4–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | L PSV | 3–4 | 3–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht?
- Our model gives FC Groningen a 37% chance, the draw 27% and FC Utrecht 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht?
- The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.