Europe Friendlies
FC Groningen vs Valladolid Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.50 – 1.10
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
FC Groningen 45%
Draw 28%
Valladolid 27%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.22 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 73% | 1.37 | 1.29 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.41 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.00 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.00 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 41 recent matches, FC Groningen games produced 10.85 corners on average — 5.95 taken by FC Groningen themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 61% of FC Groningen matches.
- Valladolid matches average 8.52 total corners (5.15 won per game) across their last 46 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Valladolid matches.
- Games involving FC Groningen produce 2.88 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- Valladolid matches average 2.48 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
FC Groningen — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Volos NFC | 0–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | L FC Volendam | 0–4 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W FC Emmen | 3–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | L Heracles | 1–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L Ajax | 0–2 | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Heracles | 2–1 | 5–9 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W NEC | 2–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Excelsior | 2–3 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Feyenoord | 0–3 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D Go Ahead Eagles | 0–0 | 8–5 |
Valladolid — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Almeria | 0–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | L Deportivo La Coruna | 0–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Racing Santander | 1–4 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Real Zaragoza | 2–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L Las Palmas | 1–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Real Sociedad B | 1–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L FC Andorra | 0–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-14 | H | D Eibar | 0–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L Cultural Leonesa | 0–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | W Cadiz | 3–0 | 7–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Groningen vs Valladolid?
- Our model gives FC Groningen a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Valladolid 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.