Lithuania 1 Lyga
FC Hegelmann II vs FK Minija Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-2
Expected goals0.79 – 2.39
Avg goals3.18
Our pickAway
FC Hegelmann II 10%
Draw 18%
FK Minija 72%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.13 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 90% | 1.11 | 0.98 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 56% | 1.80 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Asian handicap | 2.75 | Home +38% Value | 77% | 1.30 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 11 | Over +21% Value | 67% | 1.50 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 0-2 | 12% | 8.45 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 17.00 · Draw 7.50 · Away 1.13 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap 2.75 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 11 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.8
FC Hegelmann II
12.6
Expected corners
8.8
FK Minija
Corner line 11.00
Over 67%
Under 33%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 12.6 corners here; FC Hegelmann II are forecast for 3.8.
- Across 8 recent matches, FC Hegelmann II games produced 12.63 corners on average — 5.13 taken by FC Hegelmann II themselves.
- FC Hegelmann II games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
- FK Minija matches average 10.21 total corners (7.14 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
- FK Minija games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- FC Hegelmann II matches average 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Games involving FK Minija produce 2.89 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 56% probability.
FC Hegelmann II — last 8 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L FK Atmosfera | 1–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | L FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 0–2 | 5–11 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | L FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 1–3 | 11–10 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W FK Jonava | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W BFA Vilnius | 1–0 | 2–10 |
| 2026-06-12 | H | L FK Babrungas | 0–1 | 9–9 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L FK Tauras | 1–6 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 2–3 | 3–8 |
FK Minija — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | L FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 0–1 | 14–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W FK Jonava | 2–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W FK Garliava | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-23 | H | W FK Panevezys | 2–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W FK Atmosfera | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W BFA Vilnius | 3–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | D FK Jonava | 0–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | L FK Babrungas | 0–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W FK Tauras | 2–1 | 10–6 |
| 2026-05-20 | A | D FK Pempininkai | 1–1 | 8–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Hegelmann II vs FK Minija?
- Our model gives FC Hegelmann II a 10% chance, the draw 18% and FK Minija 72%. The most likely score is 0-2.
- How many corners are expected in FC Hegelmann II vs FK Minija?
- The corner model projects 12.6 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 67% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.