Finland Kolmonen
FC Kontu vs HPS II Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-2
Expected goals2.24 – 2.30
Avg goals4.54
Our pickAway
FC Kontu 39%
Draw 20%
HPS II 41%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 41% | 2.45 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 80% | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 4.5 | Under | 52% | 1.91 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home +6% Value | 54% | 1.84 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-2 | 7% | 14.12 | 12.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.50 · Draw 4.50 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 4.25 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
FC Kontu
10.3
Expected corners
5.0
HPS II
FC Kontu corner stats · HPS II corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 58%
Under 42%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.3 corners in this match, with FC Kontu winning 5.3 of them.
- FC Kontu matches average 9.25 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 20 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of FC Kontu matches.
- HPS II win 6.64 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.64 over their last 11.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 64% of HPS II matches.
- Games involving FC Kontu produce 4.05 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
- HPS II matches average 5.09 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 4.50 (52%).
FC Kontu — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A | L Atlantis FC/PM | 2–3 | 1–1 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | W PPS | 4–3 | 14–2 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | L LPS | 3–4 | 5–0 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W VJS Vantaa II | 1–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-05 | A | L TiPS | 0–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | D Töölön Taisto | 3–3 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | L ToTe | 2–7 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Valtti | 0–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-08 | H | D PPJ/Lauttasaari | 0–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | L MPS/Atletico Malmi | 2–4 | 10–3 |
HPS II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | D PPJ/Lauttasaari | 3–3 | 7–9 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | L Toukolan Teras | 2–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | L MPS/Atletico Malmi | 1–2 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-12 | H | D Töölön Taisto | 2–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Valtti | 1–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | W TiPS | 5–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | W LPS | 4–3 | 8–8 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | L VJS Vantaa II | 1–2 | 11–6 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | L PPJ/Lauttasaari | 2–6 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | D FC Kontu | 2–2 | 6–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Kontu vs HPS II?
- Our model gives FC Kontu a 39% chance, the draw 20% and HPS II 41%. The most likely score is 2-2.
- How many corners are expected in FC Kontu vs HPS II?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 58% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.