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Ukraine Persha Liga

FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

FT 3–1 (HT 3–1)

Corners11–4
Yellow cards2–2
Red cards0–1
Shots on target5–2
Shots off target2–4
Attacks69–78
Dangerous attacks47–39
Possession53%–47%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.23 – 1.00
Avg goals2.23
Our pickHome
FC Metalist Kharkiv 40% Draw 31% FC Probiy Horodenka 29%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 40% 2.50 2.15
Double chance – Home or draw 71% 1.40 1.29
Goals 2 Over 53% 1.87 1.85
Both teams to score – No 54% 1.85 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 53% 1.90 1.88
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.87 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.15  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.90
Goals 2 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • FC Metalist Kharkiv matches average 9.43 total corners (4.33 won per game) across their last 21 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of FC Metalist Kharkiv matches.
  • FC Probiy Horodenka win 5.92 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.00 over their last 12.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of FC Probiy Horodenka matches.
  • Games involving FC Metalist Kharkiv produce 2.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • FC Probiy Horodenka matches average 2.42 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.00 (53%).

FC Metalist Kharkiv — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 H W FC Probiy Horodenka 3–1 11–4
2026-05-26 A W FC Chernigiv 2–1 6–1
2026-05-23 H W UCSA 2–0 2–5
2026-04-25 H D FSC Mariupol 1–1 5–2
2026-04-17 H L Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1–2 4–5
2026-04-13 A L FC Livyi Bereh 0–3 5–14
2026-04-07 H W FC Chernigiv 2–1 5–2
2026-04-03 A D FK Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk 0–0 8–6
2026-03-28 H W FC Viktoriya Sumy 2–1 6–2
2025-11-30 H L Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0–1 3–1

FC Probiy Horodenka — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A L FC Metalist Kharkiv 1–3 4–11
2026-07-26 H D Ingulets Petrovo 2–2 6–4
2026-04-18 A L Chernomorets Odessa 0–1 5–6
2026-03-29 A D Nyva Ternopil 0–0 7–6
2025-10-19 A W Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3–0 5–1
2025-10-08 A W Metalurh Zaporizhya 1–0 3–6
2025-09-27 A D UCSA 0–0 5–6
2025-09-12 A D FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–1 10–6
2025-08-30 A D FC Metalist Kharkiv 1–1 13–5
2025-08-15 H L Bukovyna Chernivtsi 3–4 7–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka?
Our model gives FC Metalist Kharkiv a 40% chance, the draw 31% and FC Probiy Horodenka 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.