MathPredictions
▾

Portugal Super Cup

FC Porto vs Torreense Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 3-0
Expected goals3.25 – 0.60
Avg goals3.85
Our pickHome
FC Porto 87% Draw 10% Torreense 3%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 87% 1.15 1.09
Double chance – Home or draw 97% 1.04 0.99
Goals 3.75 Under 51% 1.95 1.88
Both teams to score – No 56% 1.78 1.62
Asian handicap -2.5 Home 51% 1.98 1.88
Corners 10 Under +22% Value 64% 1.57 1.98
Correct score – 3-0 +4784% Value 12% 8.21 351.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.09  ·  Draw 11.00  ·  Away 21.00
Goals 3.75 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -2.5 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 10 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

9.2 Expected corners

FC Porto corner stats · Torreense corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 36% Under 64%

Match trends

  • Across 55 recent matches, FC Porto games produced 8.82 corners on average — 5.75 taken by FC Porto themselves.
  • FC Porto games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
  • Torreense matches average 9.93 total corners (4.80 won per game) across their last 46 with corner data.
  • Torreense games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • FC Porto matches average 2.35 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
  • Games involving Torreense produce 2.26 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
  • The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 51% probability.

FC Porto — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Aston Villa 2–1 4–2
2026-07-23 A L Gil Vicente 0–1 4–8
2026-05-16 H W Santa Clara 1–0 8–5
2026-05-11 A L AVS 1–3 7–3
2026-05-03 H W Alverca 1–0 5–4
2026-04-27 A W Estrela Amadora 2–1 6–0
2026-04-23 H D Sporting 0–0 6–4
2026-04-20 H W Tondela 2–0 8–3
2026-04-17 A L Nottm Forest 0–1 1–8
2026-04-13 A W Estoril 3–1 8–1

Torreense — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A D Estoril 0–0 5–5
2026-05-29 A L Casa Pia 0–2 9–6
2026-05-25 A D Sporting 1–1 2–14
2026-05-21 H D Casa Pia 0–0 5–3
2026-05-16 H W Vizela 4–0 3–3
2026-05-10 A W Lusitania Lourosa 2–1 7–5
2026-05-05 H W Penafiel 3–2 4–5
2026-04-29 A D Feirense 0–0 4–5
2026-04-24 H W AD Fafe 2–0 10–3
2026-04-19 H W Maritimo 1–0 4–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win FC Porto vs Torreense?
Our model gives FC Porto a 87% chance, the draw 10% and Torreense 3%. The most likely score is 3-0.
How many corners are expected in FC Porto vs Torreense?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 36% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.