Austria Bundesliga
FC Salzburg vs Hartberg Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.86 – 0.96
Avg goals2.82
Our pickHome
FC Salzburg 57%
Draw 25%
Hartberg 18%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 57% | 1.74 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.05 |
| Goals | 3 | Under +15% Value | 60% | 1.68 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | -1.5 | Away +27% Value | 66% | 1.52 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 57% | 1.77 | 1.78 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +11% Value | 12% | 8.55 | 9.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.33 · Draw 5.00 · Away 9.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -1.5 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.78 · Under 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.2
FC Salzburg
10.0
Expected corners
2.9
Hartberg
FC Salzburg corner stats · Hartberg corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 57%
Under 43%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10 corners here; FC Salzburg are forecast for 7.2.
- FC Salzburg matches average 9.21 total corners (5.17 won per game) across their last 52 with corner data.
- FC Salzburg games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Hartberg win 4.02 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.30 over their last 43.
- Hartberg games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- FC Salzburg matches average 3.13 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Games involving Hartberg produce 2.58 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 60% probability.
FC Salzburg — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Oberwart | 7–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | L Istanbul Basaksehir | 1–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | W FC Kharkiv | 2–1 | 0–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Gornik Zabrze | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Seekirchen | 5–0 | 12–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Hartberg | 1–3 | 13–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L LASK Linz | 1–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D SK Sturm Graz | 1–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Rapid Vienna | 0–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | W FK Austria Vienna | 3–1 | 5–0 |
Hartberg — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | L ASK Voitsberg | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W First Vienna FC 1894 | 2–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W FK Pribram | 3–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Ujpest | 1–1 | 0–2 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | L SC Weiz | 2–3 | 16–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Admira Wacker | 3–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W FC Salzburg | 3–1 | 2–13 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L SK Sturm Graz | 2–4 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L FK Austria Vienna | 0–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L LASK Linz | 1–5 | 6–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Salzburg vs Hartberg?
- Our model gives FC Salzburg a 57% chance, the draw 25% and Hartberg 18%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FC Salzburg vs Hartberg?
- The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.