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Elite Club Friendlies

FC Tokyo vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.17 – 1.61
Avg goals2.78
Our pickAway
FC Tokyo 26% Draw 27% Borussia Dortmund 47%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 47% 2.15 1.91
Double chance – Draw or away 74% 1.36 1.36
Goals 2.5 Over 53% 1.90 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes 56% 1.78 1.40
Asian handicap 0.5 Home +6% Value 53% 1.87 1.83
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.79 11.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.70  ·  Draw 4.75  ·  Away 1.91
Goals 3.5 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 37 recent matches, FC Tokyo games produced 9.54 corners on average — 5.19 taken by FC Tokyo themselves.
  • FC Tokyo games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
  • Borussia Dortmund matches average 8.92 total corners (5.14 won per game) across their last 51 with corner data.
  • Borussia Dortmund games clear the 9.5 corner line 37% of the time.
  • FC Tokyo matches average 2.32 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
  • Games involving Borussia Dortmund produce 3.18 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.

FC Tokyo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-06 H L Cerezo Osaka 1–3 11–1
2026-05-30 A D Cerezo Osaka 2–2 4–5
2026-05-23 A L Kashima Antlers 0–1 6–1
2026-05-16 A D Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 7–5
2026-05-10 H W Tokyo Verdy 2–1 4–4
2026-05-06 H L JEF Utd Chiba 0–3 7–2
2026-05-02 H W Kawasaki Frontale 2–0 6–3
2026-04-29 A W Kashiwa Reysol 3–1 4–5
2026-04-24 H W Mito Hollyhock 5–2 7–1
2026-04-11 A W Yokohama F-Marinos 3–1 4–4

Borussia Dortmund — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A L Cerezo Osaka 0–1 4–5
2026-07-25 A L Fortuna Dusseldorf 1–2 4–3
2026-07-18 A W Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3–1 8–3
2026-05-16 A W Werder Bremen 2–0 5–4
2026-05-09 H W Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2 6–2
2026-05-03 A L Borussia M'gladbach 0–1 1–1
2026-04-26 H W SC Freiburg 4–0 5–0
2026-04-18 A L TSG Hoffenheim 1–2 3–4
2026-04-11 H L Bayer Leverkusen 0–1 5–5
2026-04-05 A W VfB Stuttgart 2–0 2–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win FC Tokyo vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our model gives FC Tokyo a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Borussia Dortmund 47%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.