MathPredictions
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New Zealand Northern League

Fencibles United vs Auckland City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

FT 0–3 (HT 0–1)

Corners4–3
Yellow cards2–2
Shots on target3–9
Shots off target7–5
Attacks98–103
Dangerous attacks56–63
Possession49%–51%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.84 – 1.90
Avg goals3.74
Our pickAway
Fencibles United 37% Draw 23% Auckland City 40%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 40% 2.53 1.83
Double chance – Home or away 77% 1.30 1.15
Goals 3.25 Over 57% 1.74 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 72% 1.38 –
Asian handicap 0.5 Home +12% Value 60% 1.66 1.95
Corners 9.5 Under 57% 1.75 –
Correct score – 1-1 9% 10.95 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 4.20  ·  Away 1.83
Goals 3.25 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.0 Fencibles United
8.9 Expected corners
4.9 Auckland City

Fencibles United corner stats · Auckland City corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 43% Under 57%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Fencibles United are forecast for 4.
  • Fencibles United matches average 9.27 total corners (4.82 won per game) across their last 22 with corner data.
  • Fencibles United games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
  • Auckland City win 5.83 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.63 over their last 40.
  • Auckland City games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
  • Fencibles United matches average 4.27 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
  • Games involving Auckland City produce 3.28 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9 across their last 4 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 57% probability.

Fencibles United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 H L Auckland City 0–3 4–3
2026-07-25 H W Auckland City 3–2 5–6
2026-07-18 A W Auckland FC Reserves 2–1 2–3
2026-07-11 H W East Coast Bays 3–2 3–3
2026-06-27 A W Bay Olympic 2–1 4–10
2026-06-20 A W Melville United 3–2 3–4
2026-06-13 A W Birkenhead United 3–1 2–10
2026-06-06 H W Tauranga City AFC 7–1 8–1
2026-05-23 A W Western Springs AFC 6–0 7–3
2026-05-16 H L Birkenhead United 0–1 5–11

Auckland City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A W Fencibles United 3–0 3–4
2026-07-29 H W Bay Olympic 5–1 5–2
2026-07-25 A L Fencibles United 2–3 6–5
2026-07-22 A L East Coast Bays 3–4 8–3
2026-07-18 H W Tauranga City AFC 3–2 15–2
2026-07-11 A W Manukau United 5–0 8–2
2026-07-04 H W Takapuna 3–0 3–5
2026-07-01 H W Auckland FC Reserves 2–0 7–3
2026-06-27 H W Western Springs AFC 3–0 11–2
2026-06-20 A L Birkenhead United 2–3 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Fencibles United vs Auckland City?
Our model gives Fencibles United a 37% chance, the draw 23% and Auckland City 40%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Fencibles United vs Auckland City?
The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.