Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.15 – 0.82
Avg goals2.97
Our pickHome
Ferroviaria U20 67%
Draw 21%
Portuguesa Santista U20 12%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 67% | 1.49 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +304% Value | 12% | 8.42 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.45 · Draw 4.20 · Away 5.25 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.5
Ferroviaria U20
9.4
Expected corners
4.0
Portuguesa Santista U20
Ferroviaria U20 corner stats · Portuguesa Santista U20 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.4 corners here; Ferroviaria U20 are forecast for 5.5.
- Ferroviaria U20 win 4.05 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.30 over their last 20.
- Ferroviaria U20 games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
- Across 13 recent matches, Portuguesa Santista U20 games produced 9.92 corners on average — 5.15 taken by Portuguesa Santista U20 themselves.
- Portuguesa Santista U20 games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Ferroviaria U20 matches average 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Portuguesa Santista U20 produce 2.69 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.5 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 52% probability.
Ferroviaria U20 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Mirassol U20 | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L Santos U20 | 1–2 | 8–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Ponte Preta SP U20 | 2–0 | 0–11 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Juventus SP U20 | 2–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | D Portuguesa U20 | 0–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W America SP U20 | 4–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Itapirense U20 | 2–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-01-15 | H | L Santos U20 | 1–4 | 3–9 |
| 2026-01-13 | H | W Real Brasilia FC U20 | 2–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-01-08 | H | W America RJ U20 | 2–1 | 5–7 |
Portuguesa Santista U20 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Juventus SP U20 | 2–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Jabaquara U20 | 0–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Mirassol U20 | 1–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Portuguesa U20 | 3–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Itapirense U20 | 3–5 | 1–5 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Ponte Preta U20 | 2–1 | 0–6 |
| 2026-01-10 | H | L CSE U20 | 0–1 | 18–3 |
| 2026-01-07 | A | D Nacional SP U20 | 0–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-01-05 | A | D Internacional U20 | 0–0 | 5–8 |
| 2025-09-13 | A | L Santos U20 | 0–3 | 7–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Ferroviaria U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20?
- Our model gives Ferroviaria U20 a 67% chance, the draw 21% and Portuguesa Santista U20 12%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Ferroviaria U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.