MathPredictions

Brazil Serie A1 Women

Ferroviaria (W) vs Bahia (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.64 – 1.08
Avg goals2.71
Our pickHome
Ferroviaria (W) 49% Draw 27% Bahia (W) 24%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 49% 2.03 1.55
Double chance Home or draw 76% 1.31 1.09
Goals 2.5 Over 51% 1.96 1.90
Both teams to score Yes 54% 1.84 1.91
Asian handicap -1 Away +13% Value 66% 1.53 1.78
Corners 9.5 Under 53% 1.87
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.78 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.55  ·  Draw 3.70  ·  Away 5.25
Goals 2.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -1 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.8 Ferroviaria (W)
9.2 Expected corners
3.4 Bahia (W)
Corner line 9.50
Over 47% Under 53%

Match trends

Ferroviaria (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Taubate (W) 4–2 13–1
2026-07-27 A D Juventude (W) 0–0 9–3
2026-07-21 H W Corinthians (W) 1–0 1–4
2026-07-18 A L Corinthians (W) 0–1 2–2
2026-05-25 A W Atletico Mineiro (W) 3–2 6–4
2026-05-22 H W Palmeiras (W) 2–1 2–3
2026-05-19 H W Vitoria (W) 2–0 8–3
2026-05-12 A D Flamengo (W) 1–1 4–4
2026-05-07 H W Santos (W) 2–1 6–6
2026-05-02 H W Mixto (W) 3–0 9–1

Bahia (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H W Botafogo (W) 2–1 2–1
2026-07-22 A W Itabirito (W) 1–0 6–1
2026-05-28 A W Planalto EC (W) 1–0 7–2
2026-05-24 A D Fluminense (W) 3–3 2–5
2026-05-17 H W Internacional (W) 3–0 3–6
2026-05-10 A D Mixto (W) 1–1 4–5
2026-04-29 H L Gremio (W) 0–2 6–3
2026-04-21 A W Flamengo (W) 3–1 1–8
2026-04-02 H W America MG (W) 3–1 10–3
2026-03-29 A W Bragantino (W) 2–1 7–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Ferroviaria (W) vs Bahia (W)?
Our model gives Ferroviaria (W) a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Bahia (W) 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Ferroviaria (W) vs Bahia (W)?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.