Brazil Serie A1 Women
Ferroviaria (W) vs Bahia (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.64 – 1.08
Avg goals2.71
Our pickHome
Ferroviaria (W) 49%
Draw 27%
Bahia (W) 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 49% | 2.03 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 51% | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | 1.91 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +13% Value | 66% | 1.53 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.78 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.55 · Draw 3.70 · Away 5.25 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.8
Ferroviaria (W)
9.2
Expected corners
3.4
Bahia (W)
Ferroviaria (W) corner stats · Bahia (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Ferroviaria (W) are forecast for 5.8.
- Across 38 recent matches, Ferroviaria (W) games produced 8.11 corners on average — 4.79 taken by Ferroviaria (W) themselves.
- Ferroviaria (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 29% of the time.
- Bahia (W) matches average 9.28 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 25 with corner data.
- Bahia (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
- Ferroviaria (W) matches average 2.47 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
- Games involving Bahia (W) produce 2.76 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 51% probability.
Ferroviaria (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Taubate (W) | 4–2 | 13–1 |
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Juventude (W) | 0–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | W Corinthians (W) | 1–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Corinthians (W) | 0–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Atletico Mineiro (W) | 3–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | W Palmeiras (W) | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | W Vitoria (W) | 2–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | D Flamengo (W) | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | W Santos (W) | 2–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Mixto (W) | 3–0 | 9–1 |
Bahia (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | W Botafogo (W) | 2–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | W Itabirito (W) | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | W Planalto EC (W) | 1–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Fluminense (W) | 3–3 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Internacional (W) | 3–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Mixto (W) | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | L Gremio (W) | 0–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | W Flamengo (W) | 3–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | W America MG (W) | 3–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | W Bragantino (W) | 2–1 | 7–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Ferroviaria (W) vs Bahia (W)?
- Our model gives Ferroviaria (W) a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Bahia (W) 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Ferroviaria (W) vs Bahia (W)?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.