MathPredictions
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Republic of Ireland First Division

Finn Harps vs Cork City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals0.92 – 1.86
Avg goals2.78
Our pickAway
Finn Harps 17% Draw 24% Cork City 58%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 58% 1.72 1.30
Double chance – Draw or away 83% 1.21 1.02
Goals 3 Under +15% Value 61% 1.64 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 52% 1.93 1.83
Asian handicap 1.5 Home +27% Value 65% 1.53 1.90
Corners 10 Over +11% Value 56% 1.78 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 +17% Value 12% 8.55 10.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 7.50  ·  Draw 4.75  ·  Away 1.30
Goals 3 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 1.5 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 10 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Finn Harps
10.5 Expected corners
6.0 Cork City

Finn Harps corner stats · Cork City corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 56% Under 44%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.5 corners in this match, with Finn Harps winning 4.4 of them.
  • Finn Harps win 3.68 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.00 over their last 41.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Finn Harps matches.
  • Across 45 recent matches, Cork City games produced 10.82 corners on average — 5.58 taken by Cork City themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 67% of Cork City matches.
  • Games involving Finn Harps produce 2.71 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
  • Cork City matches average 2.78 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.8 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.1 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (61%).

Finn Harps — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Kerry FC 1–2 4–4
2026-07-18 H L Bray Wanderers 0–1 5–4
2026-07-11 H L Treaty United FC 0–1 4–2
2026-07-04 H W Wexford FC 1–0 2–6
2026-06-27 A D Athlone Town 1–1 3–6
2026-06-20 A L Cobh Ramblers 1–3 0–8
2026-06-13 H L UCD 0–5 5–4
2026-05-30 A L Cork City 0–4 2–9
2026-05-23 H D Longford Town 2–2 3–5
2026-05-16 A L Treaty United FC 0–3 5–5

Cork City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L UCD 2–5 7–6
2026-07-18 A D Shamrock Rovers 1–1 4–9
2026-07-15 H L Cardiff 1–6 4–12
2026-07-11 H L Longford Town 3–4 10–8
2026-07-04 A W Cobh Ramblers 1–0 7–2
2026-06-27 H W Bray Wanderers 2–0 3–7
2026-06-20 H W Treaty United FC 4–0 11–6
2026-06-13 A W Wexford FC 2–0 1–8
2026-05-30 H W Finn Harps 4–0 9–2
2026-05-26 A W Treaty United FC 1–0 1–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Finn Harps vs Cork City?
Our model gives Finn Harps a 17% chance, the draw 24% and Cork City 58%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Finn Harps vs Cork City?
The corner model projects 10.5 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 56% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.