Kazakhstan Premier League
FK Atyrau vs Zhetysu Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.26 – 0.91
Avg goals2.18
Our pickHome
FK Atyrau 43%
Draw 31%
Zhetysu 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.32 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.96 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.94 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.05 · Draw 3.10 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.8
FK Atyrau
7.7
Expected corners
3.9
Zhetysu
FK Atyrau corner stats · Zhetysu corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 28%
Under 72%
Match trends
- Our model projects 7.7 corners in this match, with FK Atyrau winning 3.8 of them.
- FK Atyrau matches average 8.67 total corners (3.78 won per game) across their last 27 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of FK Atyrau matches.
- Zhetysu win 3.78 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.93 over their last 27.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Zhetysu matches.
- Games involving FK Atyrau produce 1.93 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
- Zhetysu matches average 2.70 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 7.9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (57%).
FK Atyrau — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Tobol Kostanay | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Kairat Almaty | 1–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L FK Kaspyi Aktau | 0–2 | 8–5 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W FC Elimai Semey | 2–1 | 0–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D Kairat Almaty | 1–1 | 2–10 |
| 2026-05-28 | H | D Tobol Kostanay | 1–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D FK Aktobe | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0–0 | 3–5 |
Zhetysu — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L FK Kyzylzhar | 1–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L FC Altai Semey | 0–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L FK Aktobe | 1–2 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W FK Aktobe | 1–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | D FC Altai Semey | 3–3 | 6–1 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | D Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 2–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | L FK Kyzylzhar | 2–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Ordabasy Shymkent | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L FK Zhenys | 2–3 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK Atyrau vs Zhetysu?
- Our model gives FK Atyrau a 43% chance, the draw 31% and Zhetysu 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FK Atyrau vs Zhetysu?
- The corner model projects 7.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 28% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.