Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK BE1 vs FK Jonava Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 04′ 0–0
Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–0
Shots off target0–0
Attacks3–0
Dangerous attacks3–3
Possession82%–18%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.56 – 0.96
Avg goals2.52
Our pickHome
FK BE1 50%
Draw 28%
FK Jonava 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 50% | 1.99 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.14 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 54% | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 56% | 1.78 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.56 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.70 · Draw 3.50 · Away 4.00 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.1
FK BE1
9.6
Expected corners
3.5
FK Jonava
FK BE1 corner stats · FK Jonava corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.6 corners here; FK BE1 are forecast for 6.1.
- FK BE1 win 6.50 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.18 over their last 28.
- FK BE1 games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
- Across 28 recent matches, FK Jonava games produced 9.04 corners on average — 3.79 taken by FK Jonava themselves.
- FK Jonava games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- FK BE1 matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving FK Jonava produce 2.54 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 54% probability.
FK BE1 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L BFA Vilnius | 1–3 | 9–5 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | W FK Atmosfera | 1–0 | 10–5 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | W FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 2–1 | 10–5 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | L FK Babrungas | 0–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-12 | H | W FK Tauras | 1–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W DFK Dainava | 2–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W FK Transinvest II | 2–0 | 11–4 |
| 2026-05-08 | H | W FA Siauliai II | 5–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 1–0 | 9–3 |
FK Jonava — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W FK Garliava | 1–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L FK Minija | 1–2 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L FC Hegelmann II | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 2–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | D FK Atmosfera | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | D FK Minija | 0–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L BFA Vilnius | 0–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D FK Babrungas | 1–1 | 3–0 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L FK Tauras | 0–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 0–1 | 8–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK BE1 vs FK Jonava?
- Our model gives FK BE1 a 50% chance, the draw 28% and FK Jonava 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FK BE1 vs FK Jonava?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.