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Uzbekistan PFL

FK Buxoro vs Lokomotiv Tashkent Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.18 – 1.36
Avg goals2.54
Our pickAway
FK Buxoro 31% Draw 29% Lokomotiv Tashkent 40%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 40% 2.52 2.25
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.27
Goals 2.25 Over +7% Value 54% 1.86 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 53% 1.90 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 54% 1.87 1.88
Corners 9.5 Under 50% 1.99 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.18 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.90  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 2.25
Goals 2.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.1 FK Buxoro
9.5 Expected corners
5.4 Lokomotiv Tashkent

FK Buxoro corner stats · Lokomotiv Tashkent corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; FK Buxoro are forecast for 4.1.
  • FK Buxoro win 4.29 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.88 over their last 34.
  • FK Buxoro games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
  • Across 25 recent matches, Lokomotiv Tashkent games produced 9.12 corners on average — 4.96 taken by Lokomotiv Tashkent themselves.
  • Lokomotiv Tashkent games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
  • FK Buxoro matches average 2.44 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
  • Games involving Lokomotiv Tashkent produce 3.08 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.4 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 54% probability.

FK Buxoro — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A L Andijon FK 0–2 2–7
2026-07-21 H W Bunyodkor Tashkent 1–0 3–6
2026-07-16 A L Neftchi Fargona 1–2 3–7
2026-05-02 H W Sogdiana Jizzakh 2–1 6–6
2026-04-27 A W FK Mashal Mubarek 1–0 3–3
2026-04-22 H L Pakhtakor Tashkent 0–1 2–6
2026-04-17 A L AGMK 2–3 8–11
2026-04-13 A D Nasaf Qarshi 1–1 4–12
2026-04-09 H W Qizilqum Zarafshon 2–0 1–10
2026-04-04 A L Termez Surkhon 1–3 6–4

Lokomotiv Tashkent — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H W Sogdiana Jizzakh 3–1 3–5
2026-07-22 H D Andijon FK 3–3 6–4
2026-07-17 A D Pakhtakor Tashkent 1–1 5–4
2026-05-20 H W Gazalkent 5–1 7–3
2026-05-15 H D Dinamo Samarqand 2–2 6–3
2026-05-04 H W Qizilqum Zarafshon 1–0 7–1
2026-04-27 A L AGMK 1–2 7–7
2026-04-23 A W Nasaf Qarshi 3–2 7–10
2026-04-17 H L Navbahor Namangan 0–2 5–3
2026-04-12 A W Dinamo Samarqand 2–1 5–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win FK Buxoro vs Lokomotiv Tashkent?
Our model gives FK Buxoro a 31% chance, the draw 29% and Lokomotiv Tashkent 40%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in FK Buxoro vs Lokomotiv Tashkent?
The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.