Montenegro Prva Liga
FK Decic Tuzi vs Arsenal Tivat Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.44 – 0.79
Avg goals2.23
Our pickHome
FK Decic Tuzi 51%
Draw 29%
Arsenal Tivat 19%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.95 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 2 | Over | 53% | 1.87 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 56% | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +57% Value | 14% | 6.99 | 13.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.60 · Draw 3.40 · Away 5.25 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.9
FK Decic Tuzi
7.3
Expected corners
3.4
Arsenal Tivat
FK Decic Tuzi corner stats · Arsenal Tivat corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 22%
Under 78%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 7.3 corners here; FK Decic Tuzi are forecast for 3.9.
- Across 44 recent matches, FK Decic Tuzi games produced 8.07 corners on average — 3.93 taken by FK Decic Tuzi themselves.
- FK Decic Tuzi games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
- Arsenal Tivat matches average 7.52 total corners (3.43 won per game) across their last 42 with corner data.
- Arsenal Tivat games clear the 9.5 corner line 29% of the time.
- FK Decic Tuzi matches average 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- Games involving Arsenal Tivat produce 2.57 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 41%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 7.4 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.00 goals at 53% probability.
FK Decic Tuzi — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | H | L FK Liepaja | 1–2 | 11–1 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | L FK Liepaja | 0–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Arsenal Tivat | 4–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | L FK Mornar Bar | 0–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L FK Bokelj | 0–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Sutjeska Niksic | 0–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W FK Jezero | 3–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | W Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 1–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D OFK Petrovac | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Buducnost Podgorica | 0–0 | 4–2 |
Arsenal Tivat — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Zrinjski Mostar | 0–6 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | L FK Bokelj | 1–3 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L FK Decic Tuzi | 1–4 | 2–10 |
| 2026-07-02 | H | W OFK Mladost DG | 1–0 | 1–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Buducnost Podgorica | 1–4 | 0–3 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | L OFK Mladost DG | 1–4 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L FK Bokelj | 0–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D FK Jezero | 0–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W OFK Petrovac | 3–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Buducnost Podgorica | 2–0 | 2–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK Decic Tuzi vs Arsenal Tivat?
- Our model gives FK Decic Tuzi a 51% chance, the draw 29% and Arsenal Tivat 19%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in FK Decic Tuzi vs Arsenal Tivat?
- The corner model projects 7.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 22% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.