Lithuania A Lyga
FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-114%0-113%0-012%
Expected goals1.00 – 1.17
Avg goals2.17
Our pickAway
FK Dziugas Telsiai 30%
Draw 30%
Suduva Marijampole 39%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 39% | 2.55 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 70% | 1.44 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under +5% Value | 57% | 1.75 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home +5% Value | 54% | 1.86 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.20 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.25 · Draw 3.20 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.7
FK Dziugas Telsiai
8.5
Expected corners
4.8
Suduva Marijampole
FK Dziugas Telsiai corner stats · Suduva Marijampole corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 37%
Under 63%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.5 corners here; FK Dziugas Telsiai are forecast for 3.7.
- FK Dziugas Telsiai win 4.16 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.16 over their last 44.
- FK Dziugas Telsiai games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- Across 39 recent matches, Suduva Marijampole games produced 8.92 corners on average — 4.87 taken by Suduva Marijampole themselves.
- Suduva Marijampole games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- FK Dziugas Telsiai matches average 2.64 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
- Games involving Suduva Marijampole produce 2.49 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 57% probability.
FK Dziugas Telsiai — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | A | W FA Siauliai | 4–3 | 4–7 |
| 2026-08-04 | A | D FK Panevezys | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L FK Transinvest | 0–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Banga Gargzdai | 1–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | D FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-24 | A | L FA Siauliai | 1–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Suduva Marijampole | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | D FC Hegelmann | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W FA Siauliai | 4–3 | 3–3 |
Suduva Marijampole — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | A | W Banga Gargzdai | 3–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | W FC Hegelmann | 5–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | D FK Transinvest | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | W FK Panevezys | 2–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W FK Dziugas Telsiai | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-16 | H | W FA Siauliai | 2–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | D Banga Gargzdai | 0–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W FK Riteriai | 3–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Hegelmann Litauen | 2–2 | 2–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva Marijampole?
- Our model gives FK Dziugas Telsiai a 30% chance, the draw 30% and Suduva Marijampole 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva Marijampole?
- The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.