Bulgaria Second League
FK Fratria vs Rilski Sportist Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.62 – 1.06
Avg goals2.67
Our pickHome
FK Fratria 49%
Draw 27%
Rilski Sportist 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 49% | 2.03 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +5% Value | 57% | 1.75 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.71 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.67 · Draw 3.50 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- FK Fratria matches average 9.73 total corners (5.83 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of FK Fratria matches.
- Games involving FK Fratria produce 2.70 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 50% probability.
FK Fratria — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Marek Dupnitsa | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | D Dunav Ruse | 2–2 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L Vihren Sandanski | 1–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D CSKA Sofia II | 2–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-16 | A | D Spartak Pleven | 1–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-10 | H | W Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 3–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Minyor Pernik | 3–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-03-24 | A | D Yantra Gabrovo | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | D Ludogorets Razgrad II | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-08 | H | L FC Sevlievo | 1–4 | 11–1 |
Rilski Sportist — last 1 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | L Ludogorets Razgrad II | 0–1 | 4–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
- Our model gives FK Fratria a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Rilski Sportist 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.