Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Garliava vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 0–1 (HT 0–1)
Corners2–1
Yellow cards1–0
Shots on target1–2
Shots off target0–5
Attacks48–51
Dangerous attacks28–59
Possession43%–57%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.47 – 1.17
Avg goals2.64
Our pickHome
FK Garliava 43%
Draw 28%
FK Neptunas Klaipeda 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.34 | 2.63 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 57% | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home +9% Value | 60% | 1.68 | 2.05 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 56% | 1.80 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.40 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.63 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.30 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 2.05 · Away 1.75 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.1
FK Garliava
10.0
Expected corners
3.9
FK Neptunas Klaipeda
FK Garliava corner stats · FK Neptunas Klaipeda corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 56%
Under 44%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10 corners in this match, with FK Garliava winning 6.1 of them.
- Across 23 recent matches, FK Garliava games produced 10.26 corners on average — 6.43 taken by FK Garliava themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 61% of FK Garliava matches.
- FK Neptunas Klaipeda matches average 9.66 total corners (3.88 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of FK Neptunas Klaipeda matches.
- Games involving FK Garliava produce 3.04 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
- FK Neptunas Klaipeda matches average 2.72 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 10.1 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (57%).
FK Garliava — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | L FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 0–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L FK Jonava | 0–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L FK Minija | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W FK Transinvest II | 3–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | L FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 1–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-09 | A | L DFK Dainava | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D FA Siauliai II | 1–1 | 7–0 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D FK Atmosfera | 1–1 | 5–9 |
| 2026-05-20 | A | L BFA Vilnius | 1–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 3–0 | 5–3 |
FK Neptunas Klaipeda — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | W FK Garliava | 1–0 | 1–2 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W FA Siauliai II | 2–1 | 2–11 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | D FK Transinvest II | 2–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L DFK Dainava | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-19 | H | W FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-11 | H | W FK Transinvest II | 3–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W FK Ekranas | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W FK BE1 | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W FC Hegelmann II | 3–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L FK Minija | 1–3 | 3–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK Garliava vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda?
- Our model gives FK Garliava a 43% chance, the draw 28% and FK Neptunas Klaipeda 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FK Garliava vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda?
- The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 56% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.