Montenegro Prva Liga
FK Jezero vs FK Mornar Bar Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals0.86 – 1.32
Avg goals2.18
Our pickAway
FK Jezero 23%
Draw 31%
FK Mornar Bar 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 46% | 2.18 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 77% | 1.30 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 2 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +7% Value | 54% | 1.85 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.08 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.20 · Draw 3.20 · Away 1.80 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.2
FK Jezero
8.1
Expected corners
4.9
FK Mornar Bar
FK Jezero corner stats · FK Mornar Bar corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 32%
Under 68%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.1 corners here; FK Jezero are forecast for 3.2.
- FK Jezero matches average 8.12 total corners (3.33 won per game) across their last 42 with corner data.
- FK Jezero games clear the 9.5 corner line 26% of the time.
- FK Mornar Bar win 4.58 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.73 over their last 45.
- FK Mornar Bar games clear the 9.5 corner line 29% of the time.
- FK Jezero matches average 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- Games involving FK Mornar Bar produce 2.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.00 goals at 52% probability.
FK Jezero — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | H | W FK Iskra Danilovgrad | 3–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | L FK Mornar Bar | 0–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D OFK Mladost DG | 2–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | L FK Decic Tuzi | 0–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | L FK Mornar Bar | 1–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Arsenal Tivat | 0–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Sutjeska Niksic | 1–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L FK Mornar Bar | 0–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W FK Bokelj | 2–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D OFK Petrovac | 1–1 | 2–2 |
FK Mornar Bar — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | H | L AC d'Escaldes | 1–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | L AC d'Escaldes | 1–2 | 4–0 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | D OFK Petrovac | 0–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | W FK Zemun | 2–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-24 | H | W Sutjeska Niksic | 1–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | W FK Decic Tuzi | 1–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W FK Jezero | 2–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D Buducnost Podgorica | 0–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-06 | A | W FK Jezero | 2–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W FK Jedinstvo Franca | 3–0 | 3–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK Jezero vs FK Mornar Bar?
- Our model gives FK Jezero a 23% chance, the draw 31% and FK Mornar Bar 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FK Jezero vs FK Mornar Bar?
- The corner model projects 8.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 32% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.