Serbia Prva Liga
FK Napredak vs FK Graficar Beograd Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.05 – 0.96
Avg goals2.01
Our pickHome
FK Napredak 36%
Draw 33%
FK Graficar Beograd 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 36% | 2.80 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 69% | 1.45 | 1.07 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under +10% Value | 62% | 1.61 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +43% Value | 82% | 1.23 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 15% | 6.73 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 3.75 · Away 5.50 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.9
FK Napredak
9.0
Expected corners
5.1
FK Graficar Beograd
FK Napredak corner stats · FK Graficar Beograd corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9 corners here; FK Napredak are forecast for 3.9.
- FK Napredak matches average 8.97 total corners (3.50 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- FK Napredak games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- FK Graficar Beograd win 5.21 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.62 over their last 39.
- FK Graficar Beograd games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- FK Napredak matches average 2.79 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
- Games involving FK Graficar Beograd produce 1.97 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 62% probability.
FK Napredak — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | A | L FK Sloga Doboj | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Radnik Bijeljina | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Mladost Lucani | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D FK Radnicki 1923 | 0–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | W Spartak Subotica | 3–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | L Radnicki Nis | 0–1 | 1–2 |
| 2026-04-28 | A | L Javor Ivanjica | 0–4 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | L IMT Novi Belgrade | 0–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L TSC | 1–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-09 | A | L Mladost Lucani | 0–2 | 7–5 |
FK Graficar Beograd — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | A | W FK Kabel Novi Sad | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | L Borac Cacak | 0–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L FK Tekstilac Odzaci | 0–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | L Vojvodina | 1–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-21 | H | L Smederevo | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | W FK Usce Novi Beograd | 2–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | D FK Tekstilac Odzaci | 0–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | L OFK Vrsac | 0–2 | 8–7 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | D FK Usce Novi Beograd | 0–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | W FK Trayal Krusevac | 2–0 | 4–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK Napredak vs FK Graficar Beograd?
- Our model gives FK Napredak a 36% chance, the draw 33% and FK Graficar Beograd 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FK Napredak vs FK Graficar Beograd?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.