MathPredictions

Azerbaijan Premier League

FK Qarabag vs Shamakhi FK Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-011%1-010%1-110%
Expected goals2.07 – 0.90
Avg goals2.97
Our pickHome
FK Qarabag 64% Draw 21% Shamakhi FK 15%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home +7% Value 64% 1.56 1.67
Double chance Home or draw 85% 1.18 1.18
Goals 3.25 Under +17% Value 61% 1.64 1.95
Both teams to score Yes 52% 1.92
Asian handicap -0.75 Home +10% Value 59% 1.69 1.88
Corners 9.5 Over 55% 1.82
Correct score 2-0 11% 9.07 26.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.67  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 3.80
Goals 3.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

7.5 FK Qarabag
9.9 Expected corners
2.4 Shamakhi FK
Corner line 9.50
Over 55% Under 45%

Match trends

FK Qarabag — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-14 H W Dynamo Kyiv 2–0 4–6
2026-08-07 A L Dynamo Kyiv 0–1 11–4
2026-07-31 A D CSKA Sofia 0–0 9–2
2026-07-24 H D CSKA Sofia 0–0 8–2
2026-07-17 A W IF Vestri 3–0 13–1
2026-07-10 H W IF Vestri 3–0 9–0
2026-07-01 A L Ferencvarosi TC 0–1 8–4
2026-07-01 H L FC Kharkiv 2–6 6–6
2026-06-27 A W WSG Swarovski Tirol 4–0 6–3
2026-05-22 A W FK Sumqayit 4–3 1–6

Shamakhi FK — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-21 A L FK Qabala 1–3 3–4
2026-05-16 H W PFK Turan Tovuz 3–2 4–5
2026-05-10 A L Neftchi Baku 0–3 1–6
2026-05-03 H L Sabah 0–3 4–8
2026-04-26 H W FK Kapaz 2–0 3–3
2026-04-18 A L FK Karvan 0–1 5–2
2026-04-11 H D FK Qarabag 0–0 2–12
2026-04-07 A D Zira IK 1–1 0–2
2026-03-18 H L Araz FK 0–1 7–3
2026-03-14 A W FK Sumqayit 1–0 7–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win FK Qarabag vs Shamakhi FK?
Our model gives FK Qarabag a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Shamakhi FK 15%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How many corners are expected in FK Qarabag vs Shamakhi FK?
The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.