Lithuania II Lyga
FKS Ukmerge vs FM Klaipedos Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.59 – 1.20
Avg goals2.79
Our pickHome
FKS Ukmerge 45%
Draw 27%
FM Klaipedos 28%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.21 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.89 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +10% Value | 13% | 7.76 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.15 · Draw 3.80 · Away 2.55 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.0
FKS Ukmerge
9.8
Expected corners
3.8
FM Klaipedos
FKS Ukmerge corner stats · FM Klaipedos corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.8 corners in this match, with FKS Ukmerge winning 6 of them.
- FKS Ukmerge win 5.21 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.63 over their last 19.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of FKS Ukmerge matches.
- Across 13 recent matches, FM Klaipedos games produced 10.15 corners on average — 4.38 taken by FM Klaipedos themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of FM Klaipedos matches.
- Games involving FKS Ukmerge produce 3.53 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 79%.
- FM Klaipedos matches average 3.15 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (53%).
FKS Ukmerge — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | H | W FK Silute | 1–0 | 11–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L FK Neptunas Klaipeda II | 2–3 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Banga Gargzdai II | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-08 | A | L FK Sveikata | 1–2 | 11–1 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | D FK Panevezys II | 1–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L Nevezis | 1–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D Vilnius Football Academy | 1–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | L Utenis Utena | 1–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W FK Sirvena | 2–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L FK Viltis Vilnius | 2–3 | 6–3 |
FM Klaipedos — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | H | W DFK Dainava II | 3–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Banga Gargzdai II | 1–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | L DFK Dainava | 0–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | L FK Panevezys II | 1–4 | 3–11 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | L Nevezis | 0–2 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Vilnius Football Academy | 1–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-03-19 | A | D Suduva Marijampole II | 2–2 | 7–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | A | L Banga Gargzdai II | 0–2 | 1–5 |
| 2025-09-04 | H | W FK Dziugas Telsiai II | 4–2 | 7–6 |
| 2025-08-27 | A | L FK Dainava Alytus II | 0–4 | 2–10 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FKS Ukmerge vs FM Klaipedos?
- Our model gives FKS Ukmerge a 45% chance, the draw 27% and FM Klaipedos 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FKS Ukmerge vs FM Klaipedos?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.