Scotland League Two
Forfar vs Kelty Hearts Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.31 – 1.26
Avg goals2.56
Our pickHome
Forfar 37%
Draw 29%
Kelty Hearts 34%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +10% Value | 37% | 2.74 | 3.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +11% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +18% Value | 66% | 1.52 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.18 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.9
Forfar
9.4
Expected corners
4.5
Kelty Hearts
Forfar corner stats · Kelty Hearts corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.4 corners in this match, with Forfar winning 4.9 of them.
- Forfar win 3.72 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.28 over their last 53.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of Forfar matches.
- Across 51 recent matches, Kelty Hearts games produced 9.61 corners on average — 4.04 taken by Kelty Hearts themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of Kelty Hearts matches.
- Games involving Forfar produce 2.89 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- Kelty Hearts matches average 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 2.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (59%).
Forfar — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Brechin | 3–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L Livingston | 0–8 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | L Partick | 0–4 | 0–10 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Stenhousemuir | 0–2 | 0–13 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | L St Johnstone | 0–4 | 3–10 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D Montrose | 1–1 | 0–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Hamilton | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | L Hamilton | 1–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | D Annan Athletic | 1–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Edinburgh City | 4–0 | 8–2 |
Kelty Hearts — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Aberdeen | 0–3 | 0–14 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Brora Rangers FC | 3–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | L Queen's Park | 0–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Queen of South | 1–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Dunfermline | 0–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Peterhead | 2–0 | 9–13 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L Cove Rangers | 0–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Inverness CT | 0–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Montrose | 3–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Queen of South | 1–1 | 7–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Forfar vs Kelty Hearts?
- Our model gives Forfar a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Kelty Hearts 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Forfar vs Kelty Hearts?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.