Colombia Liga Femenina
Fortaleza CEIF (W) vs Independiente Medellin (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.04 – 1.35
Avg goals2.39
Our pickAway
Fortaleza CEIF (W) 27%
Draw 30%
Independiente Medellin (W) 43%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 43% | 2.34 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 50% | 1.98 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.75 | Home +16% Value | 64% | 1.55 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 8 | Under +10% Value | 62% | 1.61 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.07 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.80 · Draw 3.20 · Away 1.85 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
| Corners 8 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.4
Fortaleza CEIF (W)
7.2
Expected corners
3.9
Independiente Medellin (W)
Fortaleza CEIF (W) corner stats · Independiente Medellin (W) corner stats
Corner line 8.00
Over 38%
Under 62%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 7.2 corners here; Fortaleza CEIF (W) are forecast for 3.4.
- Fortaleza CEIF (W) matches average 7.62 total corners (3.38 won per game) across their last 13 with corner data.
- Fortaleza CEIF (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 23% of the time.
- Independiente Medellin (W) win 3.53 corners per game, with match totals averaging 6.47 over their last 19.
- Independiente Medellin (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 11% of the time.
- Fortaleza CEIF (W) matches average 2.15 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- Games involving Independiente Medellin (W) produce 2.95 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 50% probability.
Fortaleza CEIF (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | L Internacional de Bogota (W) | 0–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 2–1 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Millonarios (W) | 0–3 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | W Deportivo Pasto (W) | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | L Internacional de Bogota (W) | 0–2 | 4–11 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | L Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 1–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | L America de Cali (W) | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-03-30 | A | D Orsomarso (W) | 1–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-03-25 | H | D CD Real Santander (W) | 0–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-03-18 | H | L Deportivo Cali (W) | 1–3 | 4–2 |
Independiente Medellin (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Atletico Nacional (W) | 1–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-05 | A | L Millonarios (W) | 1–3 | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | L Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 0–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 3–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Atletico Nacional (W) | 0–1 | 6–0 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | W Once Caldas (W) | 3–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-16 | A | L Junior (W) | 2–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | W Deportivo Pasto (W) | 3–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-03-26 | A | L Internacional de Bogota (W) | 0–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-03-16 | H | W Llaneros (W) | 2–1 | 4–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Fortaleza CEIF (W) vs Independiente Medellin (W)?
- Our model gives Fortaleza CEIF (W) a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Independiente Medellin (W) 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Fortaleza CEIF (W) vs Independiente Medellin (W)?
- The corner model projects 7.2 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 38% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.