Europe Friendlies
Fortuna Sittard vs Apoel Nicosia Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.82 – 1.24
Avg goals3.07
Our pickHome
Fortuna Sittard 50%
Draw 25%
Apoel Nicosia 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 50% | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.61 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.80 · Draw 3.75 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Fortuna Sittard win 4.56 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.12 over their last 41.
- Fortuna Sittard games clear the 9.5 corner line 61% of the time.
- Across 46 recent matches, Apoel Nicosia games produced 9.28 corners on average — 5.41 taken by Apoel Nicosia themselves.
- Apoel Nicosia games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Fortuna Sittard matches average 3.37 goals, with both teams scoring in 76% of them.
- Games involving Apoel Nicosia produce 2.78 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 53% probability.
Fortuna Sittard — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Metz | 1–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Olympiacos | 1–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Lierse SK | 1–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L FC Utrecht | 0–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W PEC Zwolle | 3–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Feyenoord | 1–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Heerenveen | 1–2 | 0–7 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D NAC | 1–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L AZ | 0–2 | 6–10 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L FC Twente | 1–2 | 7–6 |
Apoel Nicosia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | A | L Pafos FC | 0–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Omonia Nicosia | 0–3 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Apollon Limassol | 0–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | L Aris Limassol | 0–1 | 6–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W AEK Larnaca | 1–0 | 7–8 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | D Apollon Limassol | 0–0 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Pafos FC | 3–3 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L Apollon Limassol | 2–4 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Omonia Nicosia | 0–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-04-14 | H | L Apollon Limassol | 2–3 | 8–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Fortuna Sittard vs Apoel Nicosia?
- Our model gives Fortuna Sittard a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Apoel Nicosia 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.