Norway Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.45 – 1.21
Avg goals2.66
Our pickHome
Fredrikstad 41%
Draw 28%
Sandefjord 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 41% | 2.41 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +5% Value | 56% | 1.77 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 55% | 1.82 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 10 | Over | 54% | 1.84 | 1.78 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.41 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.30 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.90 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.78 · Under 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.6
Fredrikstad
10.4
Expected corners
4.8
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad corner stats · Sandefjord corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with Fredrikstad winning 5.6 of them.
- Fredrikstad win 4.15 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.48 over their last 40.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Fredrikstad matches.
- Across 38 recent matches, Sandefjord games produced 11.42 corners on average — 5.47 taken by Sandefjord themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 68% of Sandefjord matches.
- Games involving Fredrikstad produce 2.65 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- Sandefjord matches average 2.92 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (56%).
Fredrikstad — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | L Rosenborg | 0–4 | 3–10 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Bodo/Glimt | 0–1 | 0–12 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Lillestrom | 0–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Valerenga | 1–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | D Elfsborg | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | D HamKam | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W IK Start | 2–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | D Sandefjord | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W HamKam | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Sarpsborg | 1–2 | 3–11 |
Sandefjord — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Bodo/Glimt | 0–3 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Viking FK | 1–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | D HamKam | 2–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Molde | 1–2 | 10–6 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | D Fredrikstad | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Lillestrom | 1–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Kristiansund BK | 2–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Aalesund | 1–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Tromso | 1–3 | 6–10 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Rosenborg | 0–0 | 7–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?
- Our model gives Fredrikstad a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Sandefjord 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?
- The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.