Australia WA Premier League Women
Fremantle City FC (W) vs Sorrento (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.57 – 0.96
Avg goals3.53
Our pickHome
Fremantle City FC (W) 71%
Draw 17%
Sorrento (W) 11%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 71% | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 89% | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under +13% Value | 58% | 1.71 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.25 | Away +21% Value | 67% | 1.50 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +393% Value | 10% | 10.35 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.17 · Draw 7.00 · Away 11.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -2.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.6
Fremantle City FC (W)
8.9
Expected corners
2.3
Sorrento (W)
Fremantle City FC (W) corner stats · Sorrento (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Fremantle City FC (W) are forecast for 6.6.
- Fremantle City FC (W) matches average 8.30 total corners (4.90 won per game) across their last 20 with corner data.
- Fremantle City FC (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- Sorrento (W) win 1.53 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.53 over their last 15.
- Sorrento (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
- Fremantle City FC (W) matches average 3.65 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Sorrento (W) produce 3.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 33%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 5.7 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 7.7 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 58% probability.
Fremantle City FC (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | L UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 0–1 | 14–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | L Perth SC (W) | 0–3 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Subiaco AFC (W) | 2–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Perth Redstar FC (W) | 2–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Perth SC (W) | 1–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Sorrento (W) | 4–3 | 3–0 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Balcatta FC (W) | 0–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Subiaco AFC (W) | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 5–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | D Balcatta FC (W) | 3–3 | 3–7 |
Sorrento (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | H | L Perth SC (W) | 0–1 | 0–6 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L Subiaco AFC (W) | 0–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Balcatta FC (W) | 1–1 | 0–11 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | D Perth Redstar FC (W) | 2–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Fremantle City FC (W) | 3–4 | 0–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 0–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Perth SC (W) | 0–3 | 0–8 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 3–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Fremantle City FC (W) | 0–6 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Balcatta FC (W) | 0–3 | 2–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Fremantle City FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)?
- Our model gives Fremantle City FC (W) a 71% chance, the draw 17% and Sorrento (W) 11%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.