Norway Division 3 Group 1
Frigg vs Ullern Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.86 – 1.60
Avg goals4.46
Our pickHome
Frigg 63%
Draw 18%
Ullern 19%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +7% Value | 63% | 1.59 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 82% | 1.22 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 4.25 | Over | 51% | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Home +10% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 | 8% | 13.21 | 17.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.70 · Draw 4.50 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.9
Frigg
12.5
Expected corners
5.6
Ullern
Frigg corner stats · Ullern corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 78%
Under 22%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 12.5 corners here; Frigg are forecast for 6.9.
- Across 21 recent matches, Frigg games produced 10.62 corners on average — 5.62 taken by Frigg themselves.
- Frigg games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
- Ullern matches average 12.05 total corners (6.36 won per game) across their last 22 with corner data.
- Ullern games clear the 9.5 corner line 73% of the time.
- Frigg matches average 4.95 goals, with both teams scoring in 81% of them.
- Games involving Ullern produce 4.18 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 77%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.6 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 4.25 goals at 51% probability.
Frigg — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | D IF Ready | 3–3 | 7–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D Baerum | 1–1 | 6–8 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Lokomotiv Oslo | 3–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Heming | 4–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Gamle Oslo | 3–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Nordstrand | 1–2 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Ullern | 2–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | W KFUM 2 | 4–3 | 11–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Asker | 1–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Konnerud | 1–2 | 9–6 |
Ullern — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Heming | 1–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Asker | 2–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L KFUM 2 | 2–3 | 9–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W Gamle Oslo | 3–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | L Christiania BK | 0–1 | 4–0 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Konnerud | 2–1 | 14–6 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | L FK Union Carl Berner | 0–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Frigg | 1–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Valerenga 2 | 1–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D IF Ready | 2–2 | 4–12 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Frigg vs Ullern?
- Our model gives Frigg a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Ullern 19%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Frigg vs Ullern?
- The corner model projects 12.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 78% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.