Armenia Premier League
Gandzasar Kapan vs Ararat Armenia Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-1
Expected goals0.78 – 1.81
Avg goals2.59
Our pickAway
Gandzasar Kapan 15%
Draw 25%
Ararat Armenia 61%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 61% | 1.64 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 85% | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Asian handicap | 1.25 | Home +10% Value | 59% | 1.70 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Correct score | – | 0-1 | 13% | 7.97 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 5.50 · Draw 3.90 · Away 1.48 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 1.25 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.5
Gandzasar Kapan
8.8
Expected corners
5.3
Ararat Armenia
Gandzasar Kapan corner stats · Ararat Armenia corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 40%
Under 60%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Gandzasar Kapan winning 3.5 of them.
- Gandzasar Kapan matches average 8.19 total corners (3.48 won per game) across their last 21 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 19% of Gandzasar Kapan matches.
- Ararat Armenia win 4.94 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.69 over their last 32.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Ararat Armenia matches.
- Games involving Gandzasar Kapan produce 2.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- Ararat Armenia matches average 2.59 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Gandzasar Kapan — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Shirak | 3–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-04-10 | H | L FC Noah | 0–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L FC Urartu | 2–4 | 4–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Ararat Yerevan | 2–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W Ararat Yerevan | 2–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-06 | H | D FC Urartu | 2–2 | 5–8 |
| 2025-11-28 | H | D BKMA FC | 0–0 | 3–6 |
| 2025-11-22 | A | L Shirak | 0–1 | 3–5 |
| 2025-11-09 | A | L FC Van | 1–2 | 3–2 |
| 2025-11-03 | H | W Alashkert FC | 1–0 | 3–8 |
Ararat Armenia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | L Shamrock Rovers | 1–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Shamrock Rovers | 2–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | L Riga FC | 2–3 | 2–8 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | W Riga FC | 2–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | W Pyunik Yerevan | 1–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W FC Urartu | 2–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-29 | A | D Noah | 0–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Ararat Yerevan | 4–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | W Shirak | 4–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-16 | H | L Noah | 0–1 | 2–12 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Gandzasar Kapan vs Ararat Armenia?
- Our model gives Gandzasar Kapan a 15% chance, the draw 25% and Ararat Armenia 61%. The most likely score is 0-1.
- How many corners are expected in Gandzasar Kapan vs Ararat Armenia?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 40% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.