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Uzbekistan 1st Division

Gazalkent vs FC Aral Nukus Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 39′ 0–0

Corners1–1
Yellow cards1–1
Shots on target1–2
Shots off target2–2
Attacks33–40
Dangerous attacks14–26
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.33 – 1.60
Avg goals2.92
Our pickAway
Gazalkent 31% Draw 27% FC Aral Nukus 43%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 43% 2.34 1.90
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.36 1.21
Goals 2.5 Over 56% 1.79 –
Both teams to score – Yes 60% 1.67 –
Corners 9.5 Over 52% 1.91 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.99 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.30  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.9 Gazalkent
9.8 Expected corners
5.9 FC Aral Nukus

Gazalkent corner stats · FC Aral Nukus corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Gazalkent are forecast for 3.9.
  • Gazalkent matches average 10.64 total corners (4.91 won per game) across their last 11 with corner data.
  • Gazalkent games clear the 9.5 corner line 73% of the time.
  • FC Aral Nukus win 4.88 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.50 over their last 16.
  • FC Aral Nukus games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
  • Gazalkent matches average 3.09 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
  • Games involving FC Aral Nukus produce 3.06 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 75%.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 56% probability.

Gazalkent — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-23 A W Metallurg Bekabad 3–2 8–8
2026-06-10 A W Shortan Guzor 2–0 0–5
2026-06-03 H D Jayxun 0–0 6–4
2026-05-30 A W Pakhtakor Tashkent II 2–1 5–5
2026-05-20 A L Lokomotiv Tashkent 1–5 3–7
2026-05-15 H W FC Lochin 1–0 1–5
2026-05-10 A W Dinamo Samarqand 3–2 2–9
2026-05-06 H L PFC Terdu 1–2 4–5
2026-04-30 A W FC Yaypan Fergana 2–1 10–5
2026-04-21 A D Fardu Ferghana 2–2 4–6

FC Aral Nukus — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H W Shortan Guzor 3–1 3–2
2026-06-08 A W Jayxun 4–1 12–3
2026-05-20 A L AGMK 1–2 5–3
2026-05-16 A L Metallurg Bekabad 1–2 2–6
2026-05-06 H W FC Yaypan Fergana 5–1 7–1
2026-04-21 A D Kattaqorgon 1–1 6–6
2025-12-16 H L FK Buxoro 0–1 2–7
2025-11-03 A W FK Olympic Tashkent 3–0 3–1
2025-10-27 A D Fardu Ferghana 1–1 3–2
2025-10-20 A L Olympic Mobiuz 1–3 6–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Gazalkent vs FC Aral Nukus?
Our model gives Gazalkent a 31% chance, the draw 27% and FC Aral Nukus 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Gazalkent vs FC Aral Nukus?
The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.