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Poland III Liga

Gedania Gdansk vs Notec Czarnkow Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.93 – 1.54
Avg goals3.47
Our pickHome
Gedania Gdansk 46% Draw 24% Notec Czarnkow 30%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +38% Value 46% 2.17 2.70
Double chance – Home or away 76% 1.31 1.21
Goals 3 Over +8% Value 58% 1.72 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 68% 1.47 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +28% Value 66% 1.52 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 55% 1.81 –
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.81 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.70  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.20
Goals 3 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Gedania Gdansk
10.0 Expected corners
4.8 Notec Czarnkow

Gedania Gdansk corner stats · Notec Czarnkow corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 55% Under 45%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10 corners here; Gedania Gdansk are forecast for 5.1.
  • Gedania Gdansk win 5.57 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.22 over their last 23.
  • Gedania Gdansk games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • Across 14 recent matches, Notec Czarnkow games produced 9.43 corners on average — 5.71 taken by Notec Czarnkow themselves.
  • Notec Czarnkow games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
  • Gedania Gdansk matches average 4.61 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
  • Games involving Notec Czarnkow produce 2.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
  • The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.7 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 12.7 across their last 3 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 58% probability.

Gedania Gdansk — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski 2–5 6–10
2026-07-11 A L Olimpia Elblag 0–4 5–7
2026-06-04 H W Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski 4–1 8–1
2026-05-31 A W Powisle Dzierzgon 5–0 10–5
2026-05-23 H W Bytovia Bytow 4–1 7–1
2026-05-16 A W Jaguar Gdansk 4–2 1–6
2026-05-09 H L Grom Nowy Staw 1–2 3–3
2026-05-01 A L KP Starogard Gdanski 0–3 5–5
2026-04-25 H W Stolem Gniewino 4–1 10–5
2026-04-18 A W Anioly Garczegorze 5–1 3–5

Notec Czarnkow — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-30 A W Wda Swiecie 3–1 8–5
2026-05-17 A D Blekitni Stargard 1–1 4–10
2026-05-01 A L Lipno Steszew 0–1 6–0
2026-04-18 A L Kluczevia Stargard 0–3 3–5
2026-03-25 A W Flota Swinoujscie 4–2 8–5
2026-03-08 A W Pogon Szczecin II 2–1 4–6
2025-10-25 A D Polonia Sroda Wlkp 0–0 0–0
2025-10-18 A L Unia Swarzedz 1–3 6–5
2025-10-04 A D Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce 0–0 5–4
2025-09-17 A W Lech Poznan II 2–0 7–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Gedania Gdansk vs Notec Czarnkow?
Our model gives Gedania Gdansk a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Notec Czarnkow 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Gedania Gdansk vs Notec Czarnkow?
The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.