MathPredictions
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Honduras Liga Nacional

Genesis de Comayagua vs CD Choloma Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.78 – 1.21
Avg goals2.99
Our pickHome
Genesis de Comayagua 50% Draw 25% CD Choloma 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 50% 2.01 1.83
Double chance – Home or draw 75% 1.33 1.20
Goals 2.75 Over 52% 1.92 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.69 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 50% 1.99 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over 56% 1.78 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.38 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.83  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 3.60
Goals 2.75 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.5 Genesis de Comayagua
10.0 Expected corners
4.6 CD Choloma

Genesis de Comayagua corner stats · CD Choloma corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 56% Under 44%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10 corners in this match, with Genesis de Comayagua winning 5.5 of them.
  • Genesis de Comayagua win 4.10 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.05 over their last 40.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Genesis de Comayagua matches.
  • Across 30 recent matches, CD Choloma games produced 11.23 corners on average — 5.27 taken by CD Choloma themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of CD Choloma matches.
  • Games involving Genesis de Comayagua produce 2.85 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • CD Choloma matches average 3.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 13 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (52%).

Genesis de Comayagua — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-19 A L Motagua 1–2 5–6
2026-05-16 H D Olancho FC 1–1 3–7
2026-05-07 A W Olancho FC 3–1 1–7
2026-05-04 H D Motagua 1–1 4–4
2026-05-01 A D Olancho FC 2–2 4–4
2026-04-28 H W CD Victoria La Ceiba 2–0 1–6
2026-04-24 A W Lobos UPNFM 1–0 2–2
2026-04-19 H L CD Marathon 0–1 5–3
2026-04-09 A W CD Platense 1–0 2–9
2026-04-06 A L Motagua 1–3 6–3

CD Choloma — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-01 A W CD Marathon 1–0 3–7
2026-04-27 A L Motagua 1–5 4–5
2026-04-14 A W CD Victoria La Ceiba 5–2 4–11
2026-04-10 H W Real Espana 3–2 0–4
2026-04-05 A L Olancho FC 1–3 7–5
2026-04-02 H W CD Platense 1–0 5–3
2026-03-25 H L Genesis de Comayagua 1–2 11–3
2026-03-11 H D CD Marathon 0–0 2–4
2026-03-08 H L Motagua 1–3 5–8
2026-02-26 A L CD Olimpia 0–3 4–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Genesis de Comayagua vs CD Choloma?
Our model gives Genesis de Comayagua a 50% chance, the draw 25% and CD Choloma 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Genesis de Comayagua vs CD Choloma?
The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 56% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.