Argentina Liga Profesional
Gimnasia LP vs Barracas Central Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 24′ 0–0
Corners0–1
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–1
Shots off target2–1
Attacks33–23
Dangerous attacks9–6
Possession58%–42%
Predicted score
1-016%0-014%1-113%
Expected goals1.27 – 0.76
Avg goals2.03
Our pickHome
Gimnasia LP 48%
Draw 30%
Barracas Central 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 48% | 2.08 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 2 | Under | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 61% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 59% | 1.68 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Under +8% Value | 56% | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +62% Value | 16% | 6.16 | 9.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.83 · Draw 3.10 · Away 5.25 |
| Goals 2 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
Gimnasia LP
8.1
Expected corners
3.0
Barracas Central
Gimnasia LP corner stats · Barracas Central corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.1 corners in this match, with Gimnasia LP winning 5 of them.
- Gimnasia LP win 3.95 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.66 over their last 38.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of Gimnasia LP matches.
- Across 42 recent matches, Barracas Central games produced 7.36 corners on average — 2.90 taken by Barracas Central themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 26% of Barracas Central matches.
- Games involving Gimnasia LP produce 2.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
- Barracas Central matches average 1.81 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 11.1 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.00 (54%).
Gimnasia LP — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | A | W Aldosivi | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-30 | H | W River Plate | 1–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Racing Club | 1–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L River Plate | 0–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | W Velez Sarsfield | 1–0 | 0–17 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W Argentinos Jrs | 2–0 | 3–11 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | W Belgrano | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | W Acassuso | 3–0 | 5–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-14 | A | W Sarmiento | 2–1 | 7–3 |
Barracas Central — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | A | W Deportivo Riestra | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Aldosivi | 1–0 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W River Plate | 1–0 | 1–3 |
| 2026-06-03 | H | W Huracan | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | L Vasco da Gama | 0–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-20 | A | L Audax Italiano | 0–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | L Olimpia Asuncion | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Banfield | 1–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | D Audax Italiano | 1–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Racing Club | 1–1 | 3–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Gimnasia LP vs Barracas Central?
- Our model gives Gimnasia LP a 48% chance, the draw 30% and Barracas Central 22%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Gimnasia LP vs Barracas Central?
- The corner model projects 8.1 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.