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Argentina Liga Profesional

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union Santa Fe Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.08 – 1.05
Avg goals2.13
Our pickHome
Gimnasia Mendoza 35% Draw 32% Union Santa Fe 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +11% Value 35% 2.89 3.20
Double chance – Home or away 68% 1.48 1.37
Goals 2 Under 50% 2.00 1.95
Both teams to score – No 56% 1.79 1.70
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +5% Value 61% 1.65 1.78
Corners 8.5 Over 53% 1.89 1.98
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.75 5.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.20  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.40
Goals 2 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03
Corners 8.5 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.5 Gimnasia Mendoza
8.7 Expected corners
4.3 Union Santa Fe

Gimnasia Mendoza corner stats · Union Santa Fe corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 53% Under 47%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.7 corners here; Gimnasia Mendoza are forecast for 4.5.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza win 4.52 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.97 over their last 31.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
  • Across 42 recent matches, Union Santa Fe games produced 9.00 corners on average — 4.93 taken by Union Santa Fe themselves.
  • Union Santa Fe games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza matches average 1.87 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
  • Games involving Union Santa Fe produce 2.45 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
  • The model leans Under 2.00 goals at 50% probability.

Gimnasia Mendoza — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A L San Lorenzo 0–1 6–4
2026-07-25 H W Central Cordoba SdE 1–0 3–3
2026-05-05 H W Defensa y Justicia 2–1 2–7
2026-04-27 A L Independiente Rivadavia 1–5 2–11
2026-04-21 H W Lanus 1–0 6–1
2026-04-16 H D Gimnasia y Tiro 0–0 2–1
2026-04-13 A D Platense 1–1 2–5
2026-04-04 H W Velez Sarsfield 3–2 4–0
2026-03-22 A L Newell's 0–1 4–6
2026-03-18 H L Estudiantes LP 1–2 4–3

Union Santa Fe — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A D Platense 2–2 2–6
2026-05-23 H L Independiente 0–2 1–5
2026-05-13 A L Belgrano 0–2 7–4
2026-05-10 A W Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 5–5
2026-05-03 H D Talleres Cordoba 1–1 8–0
2026-04-28 A D Velez Sarsfield 2–2 4–2
2026-04-18 H L Newell's 2–3 15–4
2026-04-12 A L Estudiantes LP 1–2 6–4
2026-04-04 H W Deportivo Riestra 2–0 9–0
2026-03-31 H W Agropecuario 2–0 3–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union Santa Fe?
Our model gives Gimnasia Mendoza a 35% chance, the draw 32% and Union Santa Fe 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union Santa Fe?
The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.