Elite Club Friendlies
Girona vs Arsenal Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.06 – 2.05
Avg goals3.11
Our pickAway
Girona 18%
Draw 23%
Arsenal 59%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 59% | 1.69 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 82% | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.73 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | 0.75 | Away | 54% | 1.85 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.39 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.75 · Draw 3.25 · Away 1.85 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Girona matches average 9.29 total corners (4.53 won per game) across their last 45 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Girona matches.
- Arsenal win 5.79 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.12 over their last 66.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Arsenal matches.
- Games involving Girona produce 2.62 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
- Arsenal matches average 2.62 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (51%).
Girona — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | D CD Castellon | 3–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | L CD Alaves | 0–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | W UE Olot | 3–1 | 12–0 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Elche | 1–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | L Atletico Madrid | 0–1 | 8–9 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | D Real Sociedad | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | D Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 | 5–9 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Mallorca | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Valencia | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | L Real Betis | 2–3 | 3–1 |
Arsenal — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | A | D PSG | 1–1 | 0–10 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Crystal Palace | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | W Burnley | 1–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W West Ham | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | W Atletico Madrid | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Fulham | 3–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | D Atletico Madrid | 1–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Newcastle | 1–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Man City | 1–2 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-16 | H | D Sporting | 0–0 | 8–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Girona vs Arsenal?
- Our model gives Girona a 18% chance, the draw 23% and Arsenal 59%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.