MathPredictions

Elite Club Friendlies

Girona vs Arsenal Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.06 – 2.05
Avg goals3.11
Our pickAway
Girona 18% Draw 23% Arsenal 59%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 59% 1.69 1.85
Double chance Draw or away 82% 1.22 1.18
Goals 3 Under 51% 1.95 2.00
Both teams to score Yes 58% 1.73 1.73
Asian handicap 0.75 Away 54% 1.85 1.98
Correct score 1-1 11% 9.39 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.75  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 1.85
Goals 2.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Girona — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H D CD Castellon 3–3 6–7
2026-07-25 H L CD Alaves 0–1 8–3
2026-07-23 A W UE Olot 3–1 12–0
2026-05-24 H D Elche 1–1 2–1
2026-05-18 A L Atletico Madrid 0–1 8–9
2026-05-15 H D Real Sociedad 1–1 6–3
2026-05-12 A D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 5–9
2026-05-02 H L Mallorca 0–1 5–2
2026-04-26 A L Valencia 1–2 4–4
2026-04-22 H L Real Betis 2–3 3–1

Arsenal — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-31 A D PSG 1–1 0–10
2026-05-24 A W Crystal Palace 2–1 4–3
2026-05-19 H W Burnley 1–0 3–3
2026-05-10 A W West Ham 1–0 3–4
2026-05-06 H W Atletico Madrid 1–0 5–2
2026-05-03 H W Fulham 3–0 3–4
2026-04-30 A D Atletico Madrid 1–1 1–6
2026-04-26 H W Newcastle 1–0 7–2
2026-04-19 A L Man City 1–2 5–8
2026-04-16 H D Sporting 0–0 8–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Girona vs Arsenal?
Our model gives Girona a 18% chance, the draw 23% and Arsenal 59%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.