MathPredictions
▾

UK Friendlies

Glenavon vs Ballymena Utd Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.06 – 2.12
Avg goals3.19
Our pickAway
Glenavon 17% Draw 22% Ballymena Utd 61%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away +21% Value 61% 1.65 2.00
Double chance – Draw or away +7% Value 83% 1.21 1.29
Goals 3 Over 51% 1.97 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.71 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Away +20% Value 68% 1.47 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.75 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.00  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.00
Goals 3 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 35 recent matches, Glenavon games produced 8.83 corners on average — 4.20 taken by Glenavon themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Glenavon matches.
  • Ballymena Utd matches average 9.44 total corners (4.15 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Ballymena Utd matches.
  • Games involving Glenavon produce 2.91 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
  • Ballymena Utd matches average 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.2 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.5 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (51%).

Glenavon — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 A L Crusaders 0–2 5–6
2026-07-17 H L Doncaster 0–5 2–1
2026-04-25 H L Carrick Rangers 2–3 5–7
2026-04-19 H L Crusaders 0–1 8–4
2026-04-08 A D Ballymena Utd 1–1 2–5
2026-04-04 H D Portadown 1–1 7–2
2026-03-21 H L Larne 0–3 4–2
2026-03-14 A W Crusaders 3–0 8–6
2026-02-25 A D Ballymena Utd 2–2 5–3
2026-02-21 A W Bangor 3–1 4–4

Ballymena Utd — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Carrick Rangers 3–0 3–10
2026-07-11 A W Ballyclare Comrades 2–0 7–2
2026-07-11 A W Moyola Park 3–1 5–2
2026-04-25 A L Crusaders 2–3 8–2
2026-04-18 H L Portadown 1–2 6–4
2026-04-08 H D Glenavon 1–1 5–2
2026-03-22 A D Cliftonville 2–2 8–2
2026-03-14 H W Carrick Rangers 2–1 5–5
2026-03-07 H D Portadown 1–1 6–5
2026-02-28 H L Larne 0–2 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Glenavon vs Ballymena Utd?
Our model gives Glenavon a 17% chance, the draw 22% and Ballymena Utd 61%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.