Finland Kolmonen
Gnistan/Ogeli vs TiPS U21 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.13 – 1.65
Avg goals3.78
Our pickHome
Gnistan/Ogeli 48%
Draw 22%
TiPS U21 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 48% | 2.08 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 4 | Under +11% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away +24% Value | 68% | 1.47 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +15% Value | 9% | 11.31 | 13.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 4.75 · Away 4.20 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.2
Gnistan/Ogeli
10.0
Expected corners
5.8
TiPS U21
Gnistan/Ogeli corner stats · TiPS U21 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 56%
Under 44%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10 corners here; Gnistan/Ogeli are forecast for 4.2.
- Gnistan/Ogeli win 3.63 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.13 over their last 16.
- Gnistan/Ogeli games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
- Across 12 recent matches, TiPS U21 games produced 9.58 corners on average — 4.67 taken by TiPS U21 themselves.
- TiPS U21 games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Gnistan/Ogeli matches average 4.06 goals, with both teams scoring in 81% of them.
- Games involving TiPS U21 produce 3.67 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 59% probability.
Gnistan/Ogeli — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | A | L JaPS II | 1–3 | 3–13 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | L FC Lahti II | 0–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | D Atlantis FC/Akatemia | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | L Sibbov | 1–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L TuPS | 0–5 | 3–13 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D MK United | 2–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L RiPS | 1–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | D TiPS U21 | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D JaPS II | 2–2 | 4–10 |
| 2025-10-04 | A | L FC Kontu | 0–4 | 2–11 |
TiPS U21 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | L JaPS U21 | 1–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | L FC Honka U21 | 1–2 | 5–10 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W Atlantis FC/Akatemia | 3–2 | 11–0 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | L TuPS | 0–4 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | L RiPS | 1–4 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-12 | H | L JaPS II | 0–4 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L FC Lahti II | 0–4 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | D ToTe/Tapio | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Sibbov | 2–4 | 13–1 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | W MK United | 2–1 | 2–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Gnistan/Ogeli vs TiPS U21?
- Our model gives Gnistan/Ogeli a 48% chance, the draw 22% and TiPS U21 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Gnistan/Ogeli vs TiPS U21?
- The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 56% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.