MathPredictions
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Australia NPL Queensland

Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

FT 1–0 (HT 1–0)

Corners3–7
Yellow cards2–0
Shots on target2–1
Shots off target6–6
Attacks93–120
Dangerous attacks42–70
Possession46%–54%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.20 – 1.91
Avg goals3.11
Our pickAway
Gold Coast United 23% Draw 24% Gold Coast Knights 53%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 53% 1.89 1.55
Double chance – Draw or away 77% 1.30 1.13
Goals 3.25 Under 58% 1.74 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.65 1.57
Asian handicap 1 Home +8% Value 60% 1.66 1.85
Corners 10.5 Under 51% 1.98 1.83
Correct score – 1-1 11% 8.89 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.20  ·  Draw 4.20  ·  Away 1.55
Goals 3.25 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 1 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 10.5 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.2 Gold Coast United
10.4 Expected corners
6.3 Gold Coast Knights

Gold Coast United corner stats · Gold Coast Knights corner stats

Corner line 10.50
Over 49% Under 51%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with Gold Coast United winning 4.2 of them.
  • Gold Coast United matches average 9.56 total corners (3.81 won per game) across their last 27 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Gold Coast United matches.
  • Gold Coast Knights win 6.63 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.22 over their last 27.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 74% of Gold Coast Knights matches.
  • Games involving Gold Coast United produce 3.11 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
  • Gold Coast Knights matches average 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (58%).

Gold Coast United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 H W Gold Coast Knights 1–0 3–7
2026-07-25 A D Gold Coast Knights 1–1 2–8
2026-07-18 H L Lions FC 0–1 1–8
2026-07-12 H W Brisbane Olympic FC 3–0 3–3
2026-07-05 H L Magic United 1–3 3–4
2026-06-28 H L Moreton City Excelsior 0–1 4–4
2026-06-20 H L Brisbane Roar NPL 1–4 7–3
2026-06-07 H L Wynnum Wolves 1–2 3–7
2026-05-30 H L Peninsula Power 0–4 3–9
2026-05-26 A L North Star 0–2 4–4

Gold Coast Knights — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A L Gold Coast United 0–1 7–3
2026-07-25 H D Gold Coast United 1–1 8–2
2026-07-18 H L Wynnum Wolves 1–2 5–6
2026-07-12 H D Brisbane City 0–0 7–5
2026-07-07 H W Lions FC 2–1 2–0
2026-07-04 H W Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 6–4
2026-06-26 A L Rochedale Rovers 1–4 6–8
2026-06-23 H W Eastern Suburbs 4–1 7–3
2026-06-19 H W Magic United 2–1 8–3
2026-06-05 H W Brisbane Olympic FC 5–2 5–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our model gives Gold Coast United a 23% chance, the draw 24% and Gold Coast Knights 53%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.