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Poland Ekstraliga Women

Gornik Leczna (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals2.24 – 0.68
Avg goals2.92
Our pickHome
Gornik Leczna (W) 72% Draw 19% APLG Gdansk (W) 9%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 72% 1.39 1.27
Double chance – Home or draw 91% 1.10 1.02
Goals 2.5 Over 56% 1.79 1.93
Both teams to score – No 55% 1.81 –
Corners 9.5 Over 66% 1.51 –
Correct score – 2-0 14% 7.36 51.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.27  ·  Draw 5.25  ·  Away 8.50
Goals 3.25 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

7.0 Gornik Leczna (W)
10.9 Expected corners
3.9 APLG Gdansk (W)

Gornik Leczna (W) corner stats · APLG Gdansk (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 66% Under 34%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.9 corners here; Gornik Leczna (W) are forecast for 7.
  • Across 20 recent matches, Gornik Leczna (W) games produced 10.55 corners on average — 6.50 taken by Gornik Leczna (W) themselves.
  • Gornik Leczna (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
  • APLG Gdansk (W) matches average 10.55 total corners (4.86 won per game) across their last 22 with corner data.
  • APLG Gdansk (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
  • Gornik Leczna (W) matches average 2.95 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
  • Games involving APLG Gdansk (W) produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 27%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.2 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 56% probability.

Gornik Leczna (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-30 A W Pogon Tczew (W) 5–0 7–2
2026-05-10 A L Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 1–4 10–6
2026-05-02 H W GKS Katowice (W) 2–1 8–5
2026-04-25 A W Lech Poznan UAM (W) 3–1 5–6
2026-04-04 H L AZS UJ Krakow (W) 0–1 8–2
2026-04-01 A L Lech Poznan UAM (W) 0–1 7–3
2026-03-29 A W Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) 2–0 4–1
2026-03-25 H W UKS SMS Lodz (W) 3–0 0–5
2026-03-15 A W APLG Gdansk (W) 4–1 8–4
2026-02-21 A W Slask Wroclaw (W) 1–0 10–1

APLG Gdansk (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A W Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) 3–0 5–2
2026-05-30 A L GKS Katowice (W) 0–3 4–10
2026-05-09 A L AZS UJ Krakow (W) 0–2 4–12
2026-05-02 H L Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) 1–3 5–5
2026-04-25 A L Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 0–1 6–2
2026-04-04 H W Pogon Tczew (W) 2–0 2–4
2026-03-29 H L UKS SMS Lodz (W) 0–6 4–12
2026-03-26 A L Pogon Szczecin (W) 0–3 2–6
2026-03-22 A L Slask Wroclaw (W) 2–3 4–5
2026-03-15 H L Gornik Leczna (W) 1–4 4–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Gornik Leczna (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)?
Our model gives Gornik Leczna (W) a 72% chance, the draw 19% and APLG Gdansk (W) 9%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How many corners are expected in Gornik Leczna (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)?
The corner model projects 10.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 66% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.