USA USL League One
Greenville Triumph SC vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.50 – 1.29
Avg goals2.79
Our pickHome
Greenville Triumph SC 41%
Draw 28%
Portland Hearts of Pine 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 41% | 2.45 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.74 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 61% | 1.63 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.65 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Greenville Triumph SC
8.6
Expected corners
4.0
Portland Hearts of Pine
Greenville Triumph SC corner stats · Portland Hearts of Pine corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 39%
Under 61%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.6 corners here; Greenville Triumph SC are forecast for 4.7.
- Across 36 recent matches, Greenville Triumph SC games produced 8.97 corners on average — 4.22 taken by Greenville Triumph SC themselves.
- Greenville Triumph SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Portland Hearts of Pine matches average 9.08 total corners (4.58 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- Portland Hearts of Pine games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Greenville Triumph SC matches average 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Portland Hearts of Pine produce 3.24 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 71%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.7 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
Greenville Triumph SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W AC Boise | 3–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Corpus Christi FC | 0–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Fort Wayne FC | 0–3 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L Richmond Kickers | 1–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | D Sarasota Paradise | 0–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W New York Cosmos | 3–0 | 2–12 |
| 2026-06-25 | A | L Charlotte Independence | 0–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Antelope Valley Alta | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | L Westchester SC | 0–4 | 9–1 |
| 2026-06-11 | H | W Loudoun United FC | 3–1 | 4–9 |
Portland Hearts of Pine — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | H | L Union Omaha | 1–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L AC Boise | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W FC Naples | 3–2 | 7–7 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | W Richmond Kickers | 5–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L Westchester SC | 1–5 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1–2 | 7–8 |
| 2026-06-08 | A | L Brooklyn FC | 1–5 | 0–1 |
| 2026-06-04 | A | L Corpus Christi FC | 2–3 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W Spokane Velocity FC | 2–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Greenville Triumph SC | 1–1 | 2–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Greenville Triumph SC vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
- Our model gives Greenville Triumph SC a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Portland Hearts of Pine 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Greenville Triumph SC vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 39% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.