Brazil Serie A1 Women
Gremio (W) vs America MG (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.17 – 0.75
Avg goals2.91
Our pickHome
Gremio (W) 69%
Draw 20%
America MG (W) 11%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 69% | 1.45 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 3 | Under +9% Value | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 53% | 1.90 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -2 | Away +19% Value | 69% | 1.46 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +551% Value | 13% | 7.84 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.20 · Draw 6.25 · Away 11.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -2 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
8.1
Gremio (W)
11.2
Expected corners
3.1
America MG (W)
Gremio (W) corner stats · America MG (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 68%
Under 32%
Match trends
- Our model projects 11.2 corners in this match, with Gremio (W) winning 8.1 of them.
- Gremio (W) win 5.19 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.92 over their last 26.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Gremio (W) matches.
- Across 22 recent matches, America MG (W) games produced 11.45 corners on average — 3.23 taken by America MG (W) themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 68% of America MG (W) matches.
- Games involving Gremio (W) produce 2.38 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
- America MG (W) matches average 2.82 goals, with both teams scoring in 32% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (57%).
Gremio (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Flamengo (W) | 2–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | D Internacional (W) | 0–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | D Juventude (W) | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Mixto (W) | 3–0 | 10–2 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | W Bragantino (W) | 3–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Corinthians (W) | 0–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-04-29 | A | W Bahia (W) | 2–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | L Sao Paulo (W) | 1–3 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Vitoria (W) | 3–0 | 14–1 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | W Internacional (W) | 2–1 | 3–6 |
America MG (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Santos (W) | 0–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | L Vasco da Gama (W) | 0–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Botafogo (W) | 3–0 | 1–12 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Atletico Mineiro (W) | 0–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Cruzeiro (W) | 0–4 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Vitoria (W) | 0–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-28 | H | D Sao Paulo (W) | 0–0 | 2–14 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | L Ferroviaria (W) | 1–4 | 2–13 |
| 2026-04-02 | A | L Bahia (W) | 1–3 | 3–10 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | D Mixto (W) | 1–1 | 13–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Gremio (W) vs America MG (W)?
- Our model gives Gremio (W) a 69% chance, the draw 20% and America MG (W) 11%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Gremio (W) vs America MG (W)?
- The corner model projects 11.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 68% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.