UK Friendlies
Grimsby vs Wigan Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.42 – 1.29
Avg goals2.71
Our pickHome
Grimsby 39%
Draw 28%
Wigan 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.56 | 2.63 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 51% | 1.96 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.46 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.63 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.25 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Grimsby
9.3
Expected corners
4.6
Wigan
Grimsby corner stats · Wigan corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.3 corners here; Grimsby are forecast for 4.6.
- Across 63 recent matches, Grimsby games produced 10.22 corners on average — 5.70 taken by Grimsby themselves.
- Grimsby games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
- Wigan matches average 10.29 total corners (4.98 won per game) across their last 58 with corner data.
- Wigan games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Grimsby matches average 2.90 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- Games involving Wigan produce 2.34 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 51% probability.
Grimsby — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | D Boston Utd | 0–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Lincoln City | 5–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Hartlepool | 3–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Zorya | 1–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Salford City | 2–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Salford City | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | D Tranmere | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Swindon | 4–0 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | W Cambridge Utd | 2–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Gillingham | 4–1 | 3–5 |
Wigan — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W AFC Fylde | 3–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Port Vale | 1–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Stevenage | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L AFC Wimbledon | 0–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D Port Vale | 0–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-04-15 | H | W Rotherham | 3–0 | 11–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Mansfield | 2–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Northampton | 3–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | D Leyton Orient | 0–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | L Reading | 0–3 | 9–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Grimsby vs Wigan?
- Our model gives Grimsby a 39% chance, the draw 28% and Wigan 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Grimsby vs Wigan?
- The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.