Poland III Liga
Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.61 – 1.07
Avg goals2.68
Our pickHome
Grom Nowy Staw 49%
Draw 27%
Unia Swarzedz 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +28% Value | 49% | 2.06 | 2.63 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw +15% Value | 76% | 1.32 | 1.52 |
| Goals | 3 | Under +14% Value | 64% | 1.56 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home +26% Value | 72% | 1.39 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.68 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.63 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.20 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.5
Grom Nowy Staw
9.7
Expected corners
5.2
Unia Swarzedz
Grom Nowy Staw corner stats · Unia Swarzedz corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.7 corners here; Grom Nowy Staw are forecast for 4.5.
- Grom Nowy Staw matches average 9.57 total corners (4.86 won per game) across their last 14 with corner data.
- Grom Nowy Staw games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Unia Swarzedz win 6.16 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.28 over their last 32.
- Unia Swarzedz games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Grom Nowy Staw matches average 2.93 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
- Games involving Unia Swarzedz produce 2.84 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 64% probability.
Grom Nowy Staw — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | A | W KTS-K Luzino | 2–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Polonia Chodziez | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | D Pogon Mogilno | 0–0 | 3–10 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski | 3–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Powisle Dzierzgon | 2–1 | 11–7 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Gedania Gdansk | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Gryf Wejherowo | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Stolem Gniewino | 0–0 | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Anioly Garczegorze | 6–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | W Chojniczanka Chojnice II | 4–2 | 2–4 |
Unia Swarzedz — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Kotwica Kornik | 2–1 | 6–0 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Sokol Kleczew | 1–7 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | W Lipno Steszew | 3–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Lipno Steszew | 3–4 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 3–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Elana Torun | 4–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | W Victoria Wrzesnia | 2–1 | 11–6 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | D Blekitni Stargard | 0–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Flota Swinoujscie | 2–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Cartusia Kartuzy | 4–1 | 2–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz?
- Our model gives Grom Nowy Staw a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Unia Swarzedz 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.