MathPredictions

Poland III Liga

Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.61 – 1.07
Avg goals2.68
Our pickHome
Grom Nowy Staw 49% Draw 27% Unia Swarzedz 24%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home +28% Value 49% 2.06 2.63
Double chance Home or draw +15% Value 76% 1.32 1.52
Goals 3 Under +14% Value 64% 1.56 1.85
Both teams to score Yes 54% 1.86
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +26% Value 72% 1.39 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 52% 1.93
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.68 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.63  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.20
Goals 3 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.5 Grom Nowy Staw
9.7 Expected corners
5.2 Unia Swarzedz
Corner line 9.50
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

Grom Nowy Staw — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-11 A W KTS-K Luzino 2–0 6–6
2026-06-21 H W Polonia Chodziez 1–0 4–4
2026-06-17 A D Pogon Mogilno 0–0 3–10
2026-05-31 A W Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski 3–1 2–4
2026-05-23 H W Powisle Dzierzgon 2–1 11–7
2026-05-09 A W Gedania Gdansk 2–1 3–3
2026-05-01 H W Gryf Wejherowo 1–0 5–3
2026-04-18 A D Stolem Gniewino 0–0 3–0
2026-04-12 H W Anioly Garczegorze 6–0 7–1
2026-04-01 H W Chojniczanka Chojnice II 4–2 2–4

Unia Swarzedz — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Kotwica Kornik 2–1 6–0
2026-07-17 A L Sokol Kleczew 1–7 4–8
2026-07-16 A W Lipno Steszew 3–0 6–4
2026-05-30 A L Lipno Steszew 3–4 7–5
2026-05-23 H W Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 3–1 4–4
2026-05-17 A W Elana Torun 4–0 8–1
2026-05-13 H W Victoria Wrzesnia 2–1 11–6
2026-05-01 H D Blekitni Stargard 0–0 6–2
2026-04-25 A D Flota Swinoujscie 2–2 3–5
2026-04-18 H W Cartusia Kartuzy 4–1 2–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz?
Our model gives Grom Nowy Staw a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Unia Swarzedz 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz?
The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.